Regardless of its noise properties, a quarter-wave and higher vertical
radiates more low-angle power than a half-wave horizontal dipole.
There's no argument. If you can't be heard then you can't work 'em.

Although a quarter-wave vertical radiates less power at high angles,
it can still be heard quite well because propagation distances covered
are relatively short.

The vertical is omni-directional. The dipole is not.

Skip-distances are the same for both vertical and horizontal. The
Ancient Greeks Geometry rules.

Therefore, the situation is biassed in favor of the vertical.

The dipole wins only when the local noise level is much higher than
atmospheric noise. If you live in or near a city then its your hard
luck. Most of us do!
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Reg.