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July 18th 04, 01:56 AM

In article , (Steve
Robeson K4CAP) writes:

Subject: ARS License Numbers
From: PAMNO (N2EY)
Date: 7/17/2004 10:23 AM Central Standard Time
Message-id:

In article ,
(Steve
Robeson K4CAP) writes:

These are the number of unexpired FCC ARS
licenses held by individuals on the dates listed:

As of May 14, 2000:
Total Tech/TechPlus - 334,254
Total all classes - 674,792

As of July 15, 2004:
Total Tech/TechPlus - 320,527 (decrease of 13,727)
Total all classes - 675,620 (increase of 828)

Hmmmmmmmmm........

The codeless class is dwindling while the overall numbers are
climbing.

No, that's not what's happening, Steve.

We don't really know how many nocodetest Technicians there are anymore. FCC
has
been renewing Tech Plus as Techs for 51 months now, so an unknown number of
current Techs are code-tested. In addition, an unknown number of Novices
have
upgraded to Tech, and an unknown number of Techs hold Element 1 CSCEs.

Then that makes it all-the-more remarkable, Jim...since that number of
"Technicians" is even further diluted since "some quantity" of thier numbers
are "coded" operators.

We cannot draw any conclusions about how much dilution is going on, Steve,
unless we have more information.

Based on the information I have presented, it's possible that the number of
nocodetest Technicians is dropping. It's also possible that the number is
growing! Without more information about the mix of those who hold Technician
licenses, we can't be sure.

We only know that the total of Techs and Tech Pluses is dropping. That could be
due to all sorts of reasons, including upgrades, dropouts, slow renewals, fewer
newcomers, etc.

73 de Jim, N2EY