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Old January 1st 06, 02:27 PM posted to rec.radio.amateur.policy
Dee Flint
 
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Default ARS License Numbers


wrote in message
ups.com...
These are the numbers of current, unexpired
amateur radio licenses held by individuals
on the stated dates, and the percentage of
the total number of active licenses that
class contains:

As of May 14, 2000:

Novice - 49,329 (7.3%)
Technician - 205,394 (30.4%)
Technician Plus - 128,860 (19.1%)
General - 112,677 (16.7%)
Advanced - 99,782 (14.8%)
Extra - 78,750 (11.7%)

Total Tech/TechPlus - 334,254 (49.5%)

Total General/Advanced/Extra - 291,209 (43.2%)

Total all classes - 674,792


As of December 31, 2005:

Novice - 26,746 (4.0%) [decrease of 22,583]
Technician - 275,144 (41.6%) [increase of 69,750]
Technician Plus - 43,921 (6.6%) [decrease of 84,939]
General - 135,059 (20.4%) [increase of 22,382]
Advanced - 74,220 (11.2%) [decrease of 25,562]
Extra - 107,436 (16.2%) [increase of 28,686]

Total Tech/TechPlus - 319,065 (48.2%) [decrease of 15,189]

Total General/Advanced/Extra - 316,715 (47.8%) [increase of 25,506]

Total all classes - 662,526 (decrease of 12,266)


It might also be instructive to look at the totals MINUS the Novice class as
I believe we are now at a point that pretty much all the Novices who would
have updgraded have done so. Of the remaining pool of Novices, we are
losing them by attrition now as they are mainly inactive, not upgrading, and
not renewing.

Total Minus Novice May 14, 2000 = 625,463
Total Minus Novice Dec 31, 2005 = 635,780 (increase of 10,317 or 1.65%).

Perhaps, once the Novice class has died out or come close to it, the
"decline" in the numbers of amateur radio operators will cease (although
1.85% total or 1/3 of 1% per year is barely a decline).

Personally, I believe that we are simply stabilizing our numbers. I.e. the
"market" for ham radio is "saturated" and so we will not experience
significant growth and, so long as we do a decent job of recruiting, will
not experience a significant decline.

Dee D. Flint, N8UZE