"Davey Vile K8MN SUX" wrote in message
oups.com...
On Jul 1, 1:56 am, "Not Roger" anon@anon wrote:
Roger may IKYABWAI
It's interesting you are on the internet whining at 1:56 AM on a
weekend night, instead of being with a woman.

I was again on 20M this fine, late evening and had no problem carrying
on a
conversation with a Ham in Arizona. This at about 40 watts and shortly
after
midnight.

Oh, did you have a over the air sex session with Eric Oyen?

Know it all blowhard Assheil screws up again!

Especially when he claims this isn't the bottom of the 11 year solar
cycle.

http://www.sec.noaa.gov/SolarCycle/ has graphs which show right now is
the low portion of solar activity.

http://www.sec.noaa.gov/SolarCycle/S...ssRelease.html

NEXT SOLAR STORM CYCLE WILL START LATE
Experts Split Over Intensity

The next 11-year cycle of solar storms will most likely start next
March and peak in late 2011 or mid-2012 - up to a year later than
expected - according to a forecast issued today by NOAA's Space
Environment Center in coordination with an international panel of
solar experts.

Expected to start last fall, the delayed onset of Solar Cycle 24
stymied the panel and left them evenly split on whether a weak or
strong period of solar storms lies ahead, but neither group predicts a
record-breaker. The Space Environment Center led the prediction panel
and issued the forecast at its annual Space Weather Workshop in
Boulder. NASA sponsored the panel.

"The Space Environment Center's space weather alerts, warnings, and
forecasts are a critical component of NOAA's seamless stewardship of
the Earth's total environment, from the Sun to the sea," said retired
Vice Adm. Conrad C. Lautenbacher, Ph.D., undersecretary of commerce
for oceans and atmosphere and NOAA administrator.

During an active solar period, violent eruptions occur more often on
the Sun. Solar flares and vast explosions, known as coronal mass
ejections, shoot energetic photons and highly charged matter toward
Earth, jolting the planet's ionosphere and geomagnetic field,
potentially affecting power grids, critical military and airline
communications, satellites, Global Positioning System signals, and
even threatening astronauts with harmful radiation. These same storms
illuminate night skies with brilliant sheets of red and green known as
auroras, or the northern or southern lights.

Solar cycle intensity is measured in maximum number of sunspots - dark
blotches on the Sun that mark areas of heightened magnetic activity.
The more sunspots there are, the more likely it is that major solar
storms will occur.

In the cycle forecast issued today, half of the panel predicts a
moderately strong cycle of 140 sunspots, plus or minus 20, expected to
peak in October of 2011. The other half predicts a moderately weak
cycle of 90 sunspots, plus or minus 10, peaking in August of 2012. An
average solar cycle ranges from 75 to 155 sunspots. The late decline
of Cycle 23 has helped shift the panel away from its earlier leaning
toward a strong Cycle 24. Now the group is evenly split between
strong and weak.

"By giving a long-term outlook, we're advancing a new field-space
climate-that's still in its infancy," said retired Air Force Brig.
Gen. David L. Johnson, director of NOAA's National Weather Service.
"Issuing a cycle prediction of the onset this far in advance lies on
the very edge of what we know about the Sun."

Scientists have issued cycle predictions only twice before. In 1989,
a panel met to predict Cycle 22, which peaked that same year.
Scientists met again in September of 1996 to predict Cycle 23-six
months after the cycle had begun. Both groups did better at predicting
timing than intensity, according to Space Environment Center scientist
Douglas Biesecker, who chairs the current panel. He describes the
group's confidence level as "high" for its estimate of a March 2008
onset and "moderate" overall for the two estimates of peak sunspot
number and when those peaks would occur.

One disagreement among the current panel members centers on the
importance of magnetic fields around the Sun's poles as the previous
cycle decays. End-cycle polar fields are the bedrock of the approach
predicting a weak Cycle 24. The strong-cycle forecasters place more
importance on other precursors extending over a several-cycle history.
Another clue will be whether Cycle 24 sunspots appear by mid 2008. If
not, the strong-cycle group might change their forecast.

The first year after solar minimum, marking the end of Cycle 23, will
provide the information scientists need to arrive at a consensus.
NOAA and the panel decided to issue their best estimate now and update
the forecast as the cycle progresses, since Space Environment Center
customers have been requesting a forecast for over a year.

"The panelists in each camp have clear views on why they believe in
their prediction, why they might be wrong, and what it would take to
change their minds," said Biesecker. "We're on the verge of
understanding and agreeing on which precursors are most important in
predicting future solar activity."

NOAA's Space Environment Center is the nation's first alert of solar
activity and its affects on Earth. Just as NOAA's hurricane experts
predict the upcoming season of Atlantic storms and forecast individual
hurricanes, the agency's space weather experts issue outlooks for the
next 11-year solar cycle and warn of storms occurring on the Sun that
could impact Earth. Both the National Hurricane Center and Space
Environment Center are among nine National Centers for Environmental
Prediction, part of NOAA's National Weather Service. The Space
Environment Center is also the world warning agency of the
International Space Environment Service, a consortium of 11 member
nations.

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, an agency of the
U.S. Commerce Department, is celebrating 200 years of science and
service to the nation. From the establishment of the Survey of the
Coast in 1807 by Thomas Jefferson to the formation of the Weather
Bureau and the Commission of Fish and Fisheries in the 1870s, much of
America's scientific heritage is rooted in NOAA.

NOAA is dedicated to enhancing economic security and national safety
through the prediction and research of weather and climate-related
events and information service delivery for transportation, and by
providing environmental stewardship of our nation's coastal and marine
resources. Through the emerging Global Earth Observation System of
Systems (GEOSS), NOAA is working with its federal partners, more than
60 countries and the European Commission to develop a global
monitoring network that is as integrated as the planet it observes,
predicts and protects. The National Science Foundation sponsors the
annual Space Weather Workshop.

###

On the Web: NOAA: http://www.noaa.gov


Of course Mr. Un-Wiseman will respond in the, as usual, third person and
challenge me to give callsigns and names, which will go ignored for
obvious
reasons. (no need to subject the Ham in question to Roger's stalking)

Translation: "Not Roger" can't back up his claims and makes lame
excuses.

To put it in the vernacular that Mr. Wiseman uses, and I dislike
lowering
myself to his standards, Roger has yet again stumbled over his own
little
dick regarding this issue.

You mean like how you spelled "valley" as "velley?"


I am convinced

We are convinced you are a liar, Heil.
--

Who is "we", Un-Wiseman? Would that be you and your imaginary friend?