On 02/17/2011 11:53 AM, bpnjensen wrote:

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Solar-terrestrial indices for 16 February follow.
Solar flux 114 and mid-latitude A-index 2.
The mid-latitude K-index at 1800 UTC on 17 February was 1 (9 nT).

No space weather storms were observed for the past 24 hours.

Space weather for the next 24 hours is expected to be minor.
Geomagnetic storms reaching the G1 level are expected.
Radio blackouts reaching the R1 level are expected.

This does not look like a perceptive prediction to me. Are they
missing something, or am I?

Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be predominately quiet on day one (February 17). An
increase to unsettled to active conditions, with a chance for minor
storm periods is expected late on day one into day two (18
February). The increased activity is forecast due to the expected
arrival of the CME associated with the X2 flare that occurred on
15/0156Z. Day three (19 February) is expected to be quiet to active
as the disturbance subsides.