On Thu, 21 Aug 2008 13:15:38 -0400, Michael Coslo
wrote:

Admittedly, this is the first time that I have heard "not likely"
turned into certitude. I would at one time have said that wasn't very
likely.

See how this grows? We are now engaged in debating what is "not
likely," but of course that is how it started out anyway. What is
embraced as a real risk is equally dismissed by the same logic. Anyone
who worries about CNS tumors induced by cell phones, must allow that
they could suffer spontaneous combustion from the same source, same
risk. Risk, after all, is not a thing, it is a number. Without data,
employing risk as rhetoric automatically elevates everything that was
once inconsequential to life threatening.

However, as to your literal statement above, I feel it is "very
likely" that you HAVE heard "not likely" turned into a certitude:
"...due to the nature of Improbability calculations,
that which is Infinitely Improbable is actually very
likely to happen almost immediately..."

And I feel it is "very likely" you can name the author.

QED

73's
Richard Clark, KB7QHC