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#1
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These are the number of current,
unexpired FCC-issued amateur radio licenses held by individuals on the stated dates, and the percentage of the total number of active licenses that class contains. Percentages may not add up to exactly 100.0% due to rounding. These totals do not include licenses that have expired but are in the grace period, nor do they include club, military and other station-only licenses. Effective April 15, 2000, FCC no longer issued new Novice, Technician Plus and Advanced class licenses, so the numbers of those license classes have declined steadily since then. Also since April 15, 2000, FCC has renewed all existing Technician Plus licenses as Technician. It is therefore informative to consider the totals of the two classes, since the Technician class includes a significant number of Technician Plus licenses renewed as Technician. On February 23, 2007, the last Morse Code test element, the 5 wpm receiving test, was eliminated as a requirement. The ARS License Numbers: As of May 14, 2000: Novice- 49,329 (7.3%) Technician - 205,394 (30.4%) Technician Plus - 128,860 (19.1%) General - 112,677 (16.7%) Advanced - 99,782 (14.8%) Extra - 78,750 (11.7%) Total Tech/TechPlus - 334,254 (49.5%) Total all classes - 674,792 As of February 22, 2007: Novice - 22,896 (3.5%) Technician - 293,508 (44.8%) Technician Plus - 30,818 (4.7%) General - 130,138 (19.9%) Advanced - 69,050 (10.5%) Extra - 108,270 (16.5%) Total Tech/TechPlus - 324,326 (49.5%) Total all classes - 654,680 As of March 9, 2007: Novice - 22,725 (3.5%) Technician - 291,312 (44.5%) Technician Plus - 30,243 (4.6%) General - 132,863 (20.3%) Advanced - 68,837 (10.5%) Extra - 108,789 (16.6%) Total Tech/TechPlus - 321,555 (49.1%) Total all classes - 654,769 Changes: From May 14, 2000, to February 22, 2007: Novice - decrease of 26,433 Technician - increase of 88,114 Technician Plus - decrease of 98,042 General - increase of 17,461 Advanced - decrease of 30,732 Extra - increase of 29,520 Total Tech/TechPlus - decrease of 9,928 Total all classes - decrease of 20,112 From May 14, 2000, to March 9, 2007: Novice - decrease of 26,604 Technician - increase of 85,918 Technician Plus - decrease of 98,617 General - increase of 20,816 Advanced - decrease of 30,945 Extra - increase of 30,039 Total Tech/TechPlus - decrease of 12,699 Total all classes - decrease of 20,023 From February 22, 2007, to March 9, 2007: Novice - decrease of 171 Technician - decrease of 2,196 Technician Plus - decrease of 575 General - increase of 2,725 Advanced - decrease of 213 Extra - increase of 519 Total Tech/TechPlus - decrease of 2,771 Total all classes - increase of 89 --- 73 de Jim, N2EY |
#2
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![]() wrote in message ups.com... [snip] Total all classes - increase of 89 --- 73 de Jim, N2EY Well if we continue at this pace, that will mean 0.35% growth in one year. Dee, N8UZE |
#3
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On Mar 10, 8:36�pm, Jim Higgins wrote:
On Sat, 10 Mar 2007 14:01:47 CST, wrote: These are the number of current, unexpired FCC-issued amateur radio licenses held by individuals Why don't you put this info in table form on a web site and post a link to it? *http://www.ah0a.org/FCC/Licenses.htmlprovides an excellent example. As it is it's hard to digest at a glance and provides no history, only a monthly snapshot. The problem with the website idea is that the information will only be available as long as the website is active. By posting to Usenet, the numbers will be generally available as long as Usenet is archived. I've been posting these numbers twice a month since 2002 or so, and anybody with internet access can reference the old numbers by a Google search. To keep the traffic level down, I'm going to once-a-month now, and a revised format to show changes relative to May 2000 and February 2007. Perhaps in the future, I will collect all those old postings and condense them into one, or a few, postings. Such as numbers-by-year. 73 de Jim, N2EY |
#4
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In article ,
"Dee Flint" writes: wrote in message ups.com... [snip] Total all classes - increase of 89 --- 73 de Jim, N2EY Well if we continue at this pace, that will mean 0.35% growth in one year. Except it fails to take into account hams who die who's licenses will remain in the count for as much as 10 years afterwards. And statistics show ham radio is a very grey hobby and getting greyer all the time. bill KB3YV -- Bill Gunshannon | de-moc-ra-cy (di mok' ra see) n. Three wolves | and a sheep voting on what's for dinner. University of Scranton | Scranton, Pennsylvania | #include std.disclaimer.h |
#5
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On Mar 10, 9:32�pm, (Bill Gunshannon) wrote:
In article , * * * * "Dee Flint" writes: wrote in message oups.com... [snip] Total all classes - increase of 89 --- 73 de Jim, N2EY Well if we continue at this pace, that will mean 0.35% *growth in one year. Which fits right into my prediction of 0% to 1% growth! And I'll take 0.35% growth over a decline. But what is completely unknown at this point is whether the growth will continue. After the 2000 restructuring, the license numbers climbed for about three years - and then began to decline, until now they are well below what they were before the restructuring of 2000. Except it fails to take into account hams who die who's licenses will remain in the count for as much as 10 years afterwards. * That's always been part of the statistics, Bill. It's part of the reason I exclude licenses that are in the grace period. And statistics show ham radio is a very grey hobby and getting greyer all the time. Those statistics need to be seen in the context of the US population. First, the US population is getting older, too. More people are living longer, having fewer children, and having them later in life. According to the Census Bureau, the median age for the US population (half older, half younger) is now over 39 years! From 1990 to 2000, it rose by more than four years. Second, while we occasionally read stories of young children earning an amateur license, in reality there are, and have always been, very few hams under the age of 10 years. So if we remove the under-10 population from consideration, the median age of amateurs should be somewhere around 50 years. 73 de Jim, N2EY |
#6
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#7
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![]() "Steve Bonine" wrote in message ... [snip] My personal opinion, based on looking around at gatherings of amateur radio operators and on-the-air contacts, is that the median age is closer to 60, at least for US ops. I wish we had real data. Keep in mind though that this also is not representative. It is the older operators and retirees that have the time and money to more actively participate in the hobby. This is true in many activities. For example, the average age of the members in the community band to which I belong is also in about the 50 to 60 year old range. Dee, N8UZE |
#8
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On Mar 10, 10:46�pm, Jim Higgins wrote:
On Sat, 10 Mar 2007 20:19:22 CST, wrote: On Mar 10, 8:36�pm, Jim Higgins wrote: On Sat, 10 Mar 2007 14:01:47 CST, wrote: These are the number of current, unexpired FCC-issued amateur radio licenses held by individuals Why don't you put this info in table form on a web site and post a link to it? *http://www.ah0a.org/FCC/Licenses.htmlprovidesan excellent example. As it is it's hard to digest at a glance and provides no history, only a monthly snapshot. The problem with the website idea is that the information will only be available as long as the website is active. By posting to Usenet, the numbers will be generally available as long as Usenet is archived. I've been posting these numbers twice a month since 2002 or so, and anybody with internet access can reference the old numbers by a Google search. To keep the traffic level down, I'm going to once-a-month now, and a revised format to show changes relative to May 2000 and February 2007. Perhaps in the future, I will collect all those old postings and condense them into one, or a few, postings. Such as numbers-by-year. Your choice; you're certainly under no obligation. *For sure - at least IMO - the usefulness of the data will increase by several orders of magnitude if put in tabular form to allow seeing historical trends easily.- I agree! I invite and encourage you to collect the postings I have made on the "ARS License Numbers", put them in tabular form (say, monthly) and put them on a website of your choice. They're all in the Usenet archives, all posted by the same author (me). 73 de Jim, N2EY |
#9
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On Mar 11, 12:21�pm, Steve Bonine wrote:
wrote: So if we remove the under-10 population from consideration, the median age of amateurs should be somewhere around 50 years. Is there any real data on the median age of amateurs? *Does a database exist that contains date-of-birth so that the actual statistic could be developed? I don't know of any. At various times, FCC has required date-of-birth information. But that policy has changed over time, so the license database contains DOB info on some, but not all, US hams, depending on when they were first licensed. So the FCC license database is not a reliable sample or source. My personal opinion, based on looking around at gatherings of amateur radio operators and on-the-air contacts, is that the median age is closer to 60, at least for US ops. The problem with using such observations is that they are not reliable samples either. For example, the hams you see at gatherings are those who have the time, interest and resources to go to them. The younger amateur who is raising children, taking care of elders, busy with a career or education, etc., is much less likely to go to a hamfest or club meeting. Similar concerns go with on-air observations. The younger ham with a car full of children is less likely to be operating mobile, for example. The ham with a 60-hour-per-week day job is not likely to be on the air at 2 PM on a weekday. Etc. *I wish we had real data. Me too! The numbers I see published lack even the most basic detail. For example, I've seen claims that the "average age of US hams is xx years" - without any info about how the number was derived, whether it's the mean, median, or some other number, nor how it compares to the US population as a whole. 73 de Jim, N2EY |
#10
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wrote:
I agree! I invite and encourage you to collect the postings I have made on the "ARS License Numbers", put them in tabular form (say, monthly) and put them on a website of your choice. They're all in the Usenet archives, all posted by the same author (me). May I suggest that they be put in an Excel spreadsheet so that graphics may be generated? -- 73, Cecil http://www.w5dxp.com |
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