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On Wed, 10 Dec 2003, N2EY wrote:
"Bill Sohl" wrote in message link.net... The calendar year 2004 has a considerable amount of expirations...well above a normal distribution which would have been about 1/10th of existing hams...or about 63K. Don't you mean "about 68K", Bill? More like 73K.... The actual future expiratons data from the Joe Speroni web site is over 84K expirations with two months showing very high numbers... almost 11K in May and over 17K in July. Didn't FCC change the vanity call rules right about then? If so, it would explain the spike because getting a vanity call causes an automatic renewal regardless of the 90 day rule (so FCC doesn't have to pro-rate the fee, IIUC) That's going to be the 2006 problem. Will be interesting to watch the renewal results. Yep! Further clouded by the 90 days before/2 years after rules. If someone is a little late renewing, they show up as an expiration. What's more interesting is the count of those whose licenses expire WITHOUT them also having expired (i.e. those who DON'T renew, as opposed to those who can't). |
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