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#61
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On Nov 22, 5:14�pm, "David Eduardo" wrote:
"Brenda Ann" wrote in message ... "D Peter Maus" wrote in message ... � FM failed. Twice. The public didn't care. There was virtually no uptake. � Look at it now. FM didn't require people to throw out their old radios and buy new ones. It didn't? How did you listen to FM on an AM radio. Similarly, HD does not require anyone buy a new radio unless they want to... the analog signals continue to be broadcast. Of course, you had the choice of simply not buying an �FM radio, which is what 99% of the people did for the first 25 years of FM broadcasting. Color TV didn't require people to throw out their B/W sets and buy an expensive new color set. Color TV didn't interfere with existing B/W television services and was still viewable on existing B/W sets. Just as current radios will continue to receive analog signals. Too bad, no one is buying HD radios, after two years. |
#62
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On Nov 21, 10:52*pm, D Peter Maus wrote:
IBOCcrock wrote: On Nov 21, 2:07�pm, "David Eduardo" wrote: "IBOCcrock" wrote in message ... On Nov 21, 2:00 pm, "David Eduardo" wrote: "D Peter Maus" wrote in .... � �About 90% of the population still listens to the radio. �Even those with access to, and regular use of, other technologies. Actually, it is over 95%. Roughly the same as it was in 1965. 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2015 2020 Ah, you called Miss Cleo. Ask what Google stock will be at, will you? In the mid-60's, pundits said FM would never make it and radio would die due to TV. Those predictions are as accurate as yours. The satellite numbers are totally bogus, as sat radio has hit a brick wall on new subscriptions and the churn rate is huge after the free trial offers expire. Poor argument - the 1960's didn't have cell phone/streaming, Satellite Radio, the Internet, Internet Radio, etc...no nearly the same situation Bud! * *What's not acknowledged is that FM failed. Twice. * *Before it didn't. FCC mandates were in part responsible. * *Don't underestimate the power of commitment. * *There's been a huge investment in this technology. There's been an FCC mandate that all new modulation schemes be digital. *And there's been a half a billion dollars spent in promotion. The point is not that HD's success is assured, but rather that HD's demise is not assured either. This is not going away anytime soon. It may go away, but it's far from over. * *And the forces that have sway are in a good position to make it a full-on madated conversion. * *If you really want to fight this, you'll not be successful by reporting it's premature demise.- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - "6/1/07 - FCC Releases Detailed Digital Audio Broadcast Rules" "At some point in the future, when the Commission determines there is sufficient market penetration of digital receivers, iBiquity asserts that the public interest will be best served by reversing this presumption to favor digital operations....We decline to adopt iBiquity’s presumption policy because it is too early in the DAB conversion process for us to consider such a mechanism. We find that such a policy, if adopted now, may have unknown and unintended consequences for a new technology that has yet to be accepted by the public or widely adopted by the broadcast industry." http://www.diymedia.net/archive/0607.htm “4/4/07 - FCC: Market to Decide Fate of HD Radio” "Though it appears that the FCC has stopped short of a full-on, enthusiastic endorsement of the technology, it has removed all marketplace barriers to its proliferation. I don't believe this is because the FCC thinks it's the best DAB technology available, but it is the horse that the broadcast industry has its money on. We'll now see whether that bet is a good investment or not, and we'll be forced to learn the hard way whether the technology's shortfalls are as egregious as feared." http://www.diymedia.net/archive/0407.htm As I stated, it is up to the marketplace to determine the fate of HD Radio - with total consumer apathy and zero uptake of HD radios in two years, HD/IBOC will never happen - I win! |
#63
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On Nov 22, 12:55*pm, IBOCcrock wrote:
On Nov 22, 11:38*am,D Peter wrote: IBOCcrock wrote: On Nov 21, 10:52 pm,D Peter wrote: IBOCcrock wrote: On Nov 21, 2:07�pm, "David Eduardo" wrote: "IBOCcrock" wrote in message ... On Nov 21, 2:00 pm, "David Eduardo" wrote: "D Peter Maus" wrote in ... � �About 90% of the population still listens to the radio. �Even those with access to, and regular use of, other technologies. Actually, it is over 95%. Roughly the same as it was in 1965. 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2015 2020 Ah, you called Miss Cleo. Ask what Google stock will be at, will you? In the mid-60's, pundits said FM would never make it and radio would die due to TV. Those predictions are as accurate as yours. The satellite numbers are totally bogus, as sat radio has hit a brick wall on new subscriptions and the churn rate is huge after the free trial offers expire. Poor argument - the 1960's didn't have cell phone/streaming, Satellite Radio, the Internet, Internet Radio, etc...no nearly the same situation Bud! * *What's not acknowledged is that FM failed. Twice. * *Before it didn't. FCC mandates were in part responsible. * *Don't underestimate the power of commitment. * *There's been a huge investment in this technology. There's been an FCC mandate that all new modulation schemes be digital. *And there's been a half a billion dollars spent in promotion. The point is not that HD's success is assured, but rather that HD's demise is not assured either. This is not going away anytime soon. It may go away, but it's far from over. * *And the forces that have sway are in a good position to make it a full-on madated conversion. * *If you really want to fight this, you'll not be successful by reporting it's premature demise.- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - You keep repeating the same rhetoric over and over again. * *I keep repeating the same points because you keep ignoring the most important parts of the argument....1) regardless of the market uptake of this technology, the investors, the FCC and the stations involved are committed to it. They may not be able to make it successful, but they will not let it go easily. Even if IBOC goes no further than AM stereo, they're simply NOT going to let it go. Not after all the money that's been spent. * *If IBOC is to die, it will die slowly, and over a long period of time. Stations will tire of the internal costs associated with running HD/IBOC, and with no ROI ever possible from total consumer apathy, stations will tire of paying the on-going fees to iBiquty. Stations refuse to invest in it, Gen Y thinks the concept is lauable, old consumers don't want it, and retailers can't sell it. * *All of which is true. But the boat is in the water. They're not going to just abandon ship. Not after all the costs of launch. *Radio, iBiquity, and yes, FCC, will hang onto this for as long as they think they can turn it around. Remember, AM stereo was a dud, too. With international uptake. And it took 20 years to die. * *FM failed. Twice. The public didn't care. There was virtually no uptake. * *Look at it now. * *Color TV took 15 years to catch on. * *Look at it now. * *We're only at the very beginning of the process marketing IBOC technology. If it's not working, but there are enough people driving this who think that it can be made successful, they'll keep flaying the horse until there's nothing left before they give up. And then blame DXers for the failure. * *Even if it cannot be made successful, IBOC will take years to die. iBiquity has laid out a 5 to 8 year plan...near to a decade, just to break even. Even if they hit the target, that's only the break even point. From there, it will take years to build real growth. Or, if not successful, it will take years for stations, and investors to give up on the money they've thrown at this issue and finally give up and go away. * *FM failed twice. And once it caught on, took nearly two decades to become what it is. 40 years is a long time to keep swinging....and yet FM, backed with a lot of creative thinking, and two FCC mandates became successful 4 decades after launch. * *And the only one driving FM for the first 10 years was Edwin Armstrong. There was no public interest. No industry interest. And no FCC support. * *IBOC has corporate involvement, industry support, and the FCC's mandate that all new modulation schemes be digital. * *It's not going to simply go away. The FCC learned from the AM Stereo debacle and will not mandate a shutoff of analog radio. * *Don't count on that, either. They didn't learn anything from AM Stereo. *HDTV was supposed to be a market choice, too. Totally voluntary uptake. And no talk of turning off the NTSC broadcast until and unless 85% of each market had moved to digital TV. And this was to be done market by market, allowing market forces to make the decisions. * *Well, that didn't work. Public interest was low. And new digital services wanted the spectrum. And they were willing to pay huge dollars for it. * *So, there was an FCC mandate. And now digital TV uptake is strong. I just added an ATSC tuner to my own system. I now have digital over-the-air TV. 30 channels of it. (without an HDTV--btw.) NTSC TV is going away in a little over a year, and the uptake of digital TV technology is brisk. Resulting in a faster conversion, improved technology, and much lower prices. * *IBOC offers the opportunity for more stations, conditional access...read that 'subscription radio,'... FCC benefits with more licensing and process fees...stations see an end to dictatorial advertisers...they're highly motivated to make IBOC work. No matter what it takes. And what it may take is an FCC mandate. * *Again, HDTV was to be market driven. FCC specifically said there woudl be no HDTV mandate. Now, there's a mandate. Don't think it can't happen with Radio. There are too many salivating to get it done for that not to be an option. * *IBOC. It certainly doesn't look good now. You and I agree there. The public is not interested. Costs of implementation are a sore point for broadcasters. iBiquity fees are absurd. We agree here. * *And nobody is liking where this is going. Not the public. Not the industry. We agree here, as well. * *But there are too many historic examples of new technology implemetation...even implementation badly executed...that have been turned around by changing the rules. * *FM benefitted from two FCC mandates. HDTV was mandated into life. * *History has shown us that FCC can and will mandate what they believe needs to be mandated. Even if reversing previous decisions to do it. * *And as far as *the spectrum issue is concerned...digital broadcasting frees up more local spectra. More stations, more FCC revenues. They've got a financial interest in this too. * *And the MW broadcast band is being eyed for low bitrate digital services. There is spectrum pressure in favor of IBOC, just as there is * HDTV. * *An FCC mandate is not out of the question. * *So, take a step back and look at the bigger picture. IBOC isn't working. You're right about that. We agree. This is a boondoggle. And it's an expensive boondoggle. * *But that's only the picture right now. * *There is too much history to suggest that with this much support in the industry, with this much money spent, with this much motivation on the part of broadcasters AND FCC....there is just too much historic evidence to make the claim that IBOC will just go away. * *It may fail. But it will not just go away. It will peter out, and peter out and peter out....just like AM Stereo...and it will take more than a decade to do it.- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - "There is too much history to suggest that with this much support in the industry... blah, blah, blah..." Come back here - I'm not done with you yet! Most of that "money" ($680 million) is unsold advertising time, which stations were not going to continue into 2008. Gee, what does that say about terrestrial radio that they have $680 million in unsold ad time - it's dying! Large market stations have only spent a few hundred thousand dollars each upgrading to HD - according to Eduardo, a drop in the bucket; so, you argument fails here, too! Now, come back here!- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - Stations have always had unsold air time. That's where they fit in their public service extras. And if they still have left overs - they hire an ad agency to sell -- " public service reminders brought to you by some local business" which helps pick up the unsold air time. The stations that have the most audience have less unsold air times -- the stations with the smaller audiences - have more unsold air time. I don't think that unsold air time can prove that terrestrial radio. And stations sources of income have broaden from just air time anyways. They have new revenue streams now to make up for deficits in other areas. |
#64
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On Nov 22, 4:14 pm, "David Eduardo" wrote:
"Brenda Ann" wrote in message ... "D Peter Maus" wrote in message ... FM failed. Twice. The public didn't care. There was virtually no uptake. Look at it now. FM didn't require people to throw out their old radios and buy new ones. It didn't? How did you listen to FM on an AM radio. Similarly, HD does not require anyone buy a new radio unless they want to... the analog signals continue to be broadcast. Of course, you had the choice of simply not buying an FM radio, which is what 99% of the people did for the first 25 years of FM broadcasting. Color TV didn't require people to throw out their B/W sets and buy an expensive new color set. Color TV didn't interfere with existing B/W television services and was still viewable on existing B/W sets. Just as current radios will continue to receive analog signals. So, then are you saying that HD radio, once all stations go to that, will require everyone to purchase an HD radio - or could one still listen to the station on a regular radio - with just poorer quality reception?? |
#65
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IBOCcrock wrote:
On Nov 22, 3:40 pm, D Peter Maus wrote: IBOCcrock wrote: On Nov 22, 11:38 am, D Peter Maus wrote: IBOCcrock wrote: On Nov 21, 10:52 pm, D Peter Maus wrote: IBOCcrock wrote: On Nov 21, 2:07�pm, "David Eduardo" wrote: "IBOCcrock" wrote in message ... On Nov 21, 2:00 pm, "David Eduardo" wrote: "D Peter Maus" wrote in ... � �About 90% of the population still listens to the radio. �Even those with access to, and regular use of, other technologies. Actually, it is over 95%. Roughly the same as it was in 1965. 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2015 2020 Ah, you called Miss Cleo. Ask what Google stock will be at, will you? In the mid-60's, pundits said FM would never make it and radio would die due to TV. Those predictions are as accurate as yours. The satellite numbers are totally bogus, as sat radio has hit a brick wall on new subscriptions and the churn rate is huge after the free trial offers expire. Poor argument - the 1960's didn't have cell phone/streaming, Satellite Radio, the Internet, Internet Radio, etc...no nearly the same situation Bud! What's not acknowledged is that FM failed. Twice. Before it didn't. FCC mandates were in part responsible. Don't underestimate the power of commitment. There's been a huge investment in this technology. There's been an FCC mandate that all new modulation schemes be digital. And there's been a half a billion dollars spent in promotion. The point is not that HD's success is assured, but rather that HD's demise is not assured either. This is not going away anytime soon. It may go away, but it's far from over. And the forces that have sway are in a good position to make it a full-on madated conversion. If you really want to fight this, you'll not be successful by reporting it's premature demise.- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - You keep repeating the same rhetoric over and over again. I keep repeating the same points because you keep ignoring the most important parts of the argument....1) regardless of the market uptake of this technology, the investors, the FCC and the stations involved are committed to it. They may not be able to make it successful, but they will not let it go easily. Even if IBOC goes no further than AM stereo, they're simply NOT going to let it go. Not after all the money that's been spent. If IBOC is to die, it will die slowly, and over a long period of time. Stations will tire of the internal costs associated with running HD/IBOC, and with no ROI ever possible from total consumer apathy, stations will tire of paying the on-going fees to iBiquty. Stations refuse to invest in it, Gen Y thinks the concept is lauable, old consumers don't want it, and retailers can't sell it. All of which is true. But the boat is in the water. They're not going to just abandon ship. Not after all the costs of launch. Radio, iBiquity, and yes, FCC, will hang onto this for as long as they think they can turn it around. Remember, AM stereo was a dud, too. With international uptake. And it took 20 years to die. FM failed. Twice. The public didn't care. There was virtually no uptake. Look at it now. Color TV took 15 years to catch on. Look at it now. We're only at the very beginning of the process marketing IBOC technology. If it's not working, but there are enough people driving this who think that it can be made successful, they'll keep flaying the horse until there's nothing left before they give up. And then blame DXers for the failure. Even if it cannot be made successful, IBOC will take years to die. iBiquity has laid out a 5 to 8 year plan...near to a decade, just to break even. Even if they hit the target, that's only the break even point. From there, it will take years to build real growth. Or, if not successful, it will take years for stations, and investors to give up on the money they've thrown at this issue and finally give up and go away. FM failed twice. And once it caught on, took nearly two decades to become what it is. 40 years is a long time to keep swinging....and yet FM, backed with a lot of creative thinking, and two FCC mandates became successful 4 decades after launch. And the only one driving FM for the first 10 years was Edwin Armstrong. There was no public interest. No industry interest. And no FCC support. IBOC has corporate involvement, industry support, and the FCC's mandate that all new modulation schemes be digital. It's not going to simply go away. The FCC learned from the AM Stereo debacle and will not mandate a shutoff of analog radio. Don't count on that, either. They didn't learn anything from AM Stereo. HDTV was supposed to be a market choice, too. Totally voluntary uptake. And no talk of turning off the NTSC broadcast until and unless 85% of each market had moved to digital TV. And this was to be done market by market, allowing market forces to make the decisions. Well, that didn't work. Public interest was low. And new digital services wanted the spectrum. And they were willing to pay huge dollars for it. So, there was an FCC mandate. And now digital TV uptake is strong. I just added an ATSC tuner to my own system. I now have digital over-the-air TV. 30 channels of it. (without an HDTV--btw.) NTSC TV is going away in a little over a year, and the uptake of digital TV technology is brisk. Resulting in a faster conversion, improved technology, and much lower prices. IBOC offers the opportunity for more stations, conditional access...read that 'subscription radio,'... FCC benefits with more licensing and process fees...stations see an end to dictatorial advertisers...they're highly motivated to make IBOC work. No matter what it takes. And what it may take is an FCC mandate. Again, HDTV was to be market driven. FCC specifically said there woudl be no HDTV mandate. Now, there's a mandate. Don't think it can't happen with Radio. There are too many salivating to get it done for that not to be an option. IBOC. It certainly doesn't look good now. You and I agree there. The public is not interested. Costs of implementation are a sore point for broadcasters. iBiquity fees are absurd. We agree here. And nobody is liking where this is going. Not the public. Not the industry. We agree here, as well. But there are too many historic examples of new technology implemetation...even implementation badly executed...that have been turned around by changing the rules. FM benefitted from two FCC mandates. HDTV was mandated into life. History has shown us that FCC can and will mandate what they believe needs to be mandated. Even if reversing previous decisions to do it. And as far as the spectrum issue is concerned...digital broadcasting frees up more local spectra. More stations, more FCC revenues. They've got a financial interest in this too. And the MW broadcast band is being eyed for low bitrate digital services. There is spectrum pressure in favor of IBOC, just as there is HDTV. An FCC mandate is not out of the question. So, take a step back and look at the bigger picture. IBOC isn't working. You're right about that. We agree. This is a boondoggle. And it's an expensive boondoggle. But that's only the picture right now. There is too much history to suggest that with this much support in the industry, with this much money spent, with this much motivation on the part of broadcasters AND FCC....there is just too much historic evidence to make the claim that IBOC will just go away. It may fail. But it will not just go away. It will peter out, and peter out and peter out....just like AM Stereo...and it will take more than a decade to do it.- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - "regardless of the market uptake of this technology, the investors, the FCC and the stations involved are committed to it... There is too much history to suggest that with this much support in the industry, with this much money spent, with this much motivation on the part of broadcasters AND FCC....there is just too much historic evidence to make the claim that IBOC will just go away. It may fail. But it will not just go away. It will peter out, and peter out and peter out....just like AM Stereo...and it will take more than a decade to do it." In response to you, here is the FCC's stance on HD/IBOC: “4/4/07 - FCC: Market to Decide Fate of HD Radio” "Other coverage of the FCC's decision notes that iBiquity, the proprietor of HD Radio, reacted in a manner like they exhal[ed] a sigh that's been held in for several years. Though it appears that the FCC has stopped short of a full-on, enthusiastic endorsement of the technology, it has removed all marketplace barriers to its proliferation. I don't believe this is because the FCC thinks it's the best DAB technology available, but it is the horse that the broadcast industry has its money on. We'll now see whether that bet is a good investment or not, and we'll be forced to learn the hard way whether the technology's shortfalls are as egregious as feared. Marketplace forces are not inexorable, and radio's digital transition will most likely take a decade or more to really take hold." http://www.diymedia.net/archive/0407.htm You obviously need to do more research, before you hysterically blow unsubstantiated opinions out of your arse. With no consumer interest after at least two years (really 5 years since HD has been broadcasting), HD/IBOC will never take-hold. The FCC is not interested in freeing-up the broadcast bands, as with TV, for auction. Automakers have no interest in HD/IBOC, just as with the general public - nothing can force consumers or automakers to buy/install HD radios. Who in hell cares about listening to radio anymore, except for radio-geeks, and incidental listening to/from work. iBiquity will be looking at exit stratagies in the near-futu "IBiquity sees digital radio signaling changes to come" "The company has yet to turn a profit and does not expect to do so in 2007 or 2008, Struble said... Mass marketing and consumer adoption is the last hurdle, Struble said... Representatives of investment firms that have spots on iBiquity's board of directors could not be reached for comment, but Struble said they are excited about the progress the company is making. The focus is not on exit strategies yet, he said." http://tinyurl.com/3don5y If you look at my blog, I have acquired far more HD/IBOC knowledge, over 2 years, than you could ever dream about: http://hdradiofarce.blogspot.com/ With all due respect, no, you don't. By your ignorant rants, yes I do! Actually, you need to read a little more closely. And do some historical research. Blogs are fine. But facts are a lot nicer in a discussion. Do have a nice holiday weekend. p |
#66
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![]() "IBOCcrock" wrote in message ... On Nov 22, 3:33?pm, "David Eduardo" wrote: "David Eduardo" wrote in message ... Fe de errata... This we agree on. And its success is not needed for FM in the short term, but it could have had some effect on saving FM from death. That should be "saving AM" and not FM. No, it is the music-related FMs that are screwed - news/talk/sports on the 50KW AMs is alive and well. No, it is not. When stations like KGO in San Francisco have lost a third or more of their billing in the last 7 year period, and the audience in 25-54 has never been lower, AM is in crisis. The talk formats are moving ever more rapidly to FM, with the latest being 50 kw WIBC in Indianapolis, whose format moves totally to FM in 40 days. AM -HD will destroy AM with adjacent- channel interference and poor coverage. Most 60kw AMs are rated #1, or in the top-5. Actually, most are not. 50 kw KMIK in Phoenix is dead last. 50 kw KBLA in LA is second from last. There are only a handful of 50 kw AMs that are #1, such as KMOX, WCCO, KGO, KMJ. None are #1 or clese to it in 25-54. There are 98 50 kw day and night stations. About 10 are #1 or #2. None is #1 or 2 in 25-54. More than half are not even in the top 10 in 25-54, the only ages that count for sales. |
#67
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![]() wrote in message ... On Nov 22, 12:55 pm, IBOCcrock wrote: Stations have always had unsold air time. Correct. When stations approach sellout, they move the rates to a higher grid and charge more. "If you are sold out, you are selling too cheap." That's where they fit in their public service extras. No, when there is unsold time, we play more music, or cluster the spots to do a music sweep. And if they still have left overs - they hire an ad agency to sell -- " public service reminders brought to you by some local business" which helps pick up the unsold air time. That is in very, very, very small markets. No rated market station with audience will let a third party sell their inventory. The stations that have the most audience have less unsold air times -- the stations with the smaller audiences - have more unsold air time. I don't think that unsold air time can prove that terrestrial radio. And stations sources of income have broaden from just air time anyways. They have new revenue streams now to make up for deficits in other areas. Further, there are times of the year when demand in higher, and times when it is lower, just like in TV or print or cable. That is an indication of market conditions, not a failure of radio.. |
#68
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On Nov 22, 7:25 pm, "
wrote: On Nov 22, 4:14 pm, "David Eduardo" wrote: "Brenda Ann" wrote in message m... "D Peter Maus" wrote in message ... FM failed. Twice. The public didn't care. There was virtually no uptake. Look at it now. FM didn't require people to throw out their old radios and buy new ones. It didn't? How did you listen to FM on an AM radio. Similarly, HD does not require anyone buy a new radio unless they want to... the analog signals continue to be broadcast. Of course, you had the choice of simply not buying an FM radio, which is what 99% of the people did for the first 25 years of FM broadcasting. Color TV didn't require people to throw out their B/W sets and buy an expensive new color set. Color TV didn't interfere with existing B/W television services and was still viewable on existing B/W sets. Just as current radios will continue to receive analog signals. So, then are you saying that HD radio, once all stations go to that, will require everyone to purchase an HD radio - or could one still listen to the station on a regular radio - with just poorer quality reception??- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - BAJ, You can not listen to the "HD" Radio 'Digital' Signal on an Anolog Radio. 1 - Buy a HD Radio and Listen for Free. 2 - Buy a Internet Radio and Pay a Month Fee. 3 - Buy a Satellite Radio and Pay a Month Fee. Your Future Choice : Free -or- Monthly Fee ~ RHF |
#69
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RHF wrote:
snip 2 - Buy a Internet Radio and Pay a Month Fee. Many WiFi Internet Radio appliances are already on the market; these are often used near public "hot spots" or open WiFi access points and don't require any fee. Many communities have a stated goal to provide large-area WiFi open access for VoIP, email and internet radio appliances and mesh and ad-hoc networks are also becoming more widespread. In urban areas at least, this will be a competition to terrestrial radio. Regards, Michael |
#70
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On Nov 22, 5:16*pm, IBOCcrock wrote:
On Nov 21, 10:52*pm, D Peter Maus wrote: IBOCcrock wrote: On Nov 21, 2:07�pm, "David Eduardo" wrote: "IBOCcrock" wrote in message .... On Nov 21, 2:00 pm, "David Eduardo" wrote: "D Peter Maus" wrote in ... � �About 90% of the population still listens to the radio. �Even those with access to, and regular use of, other technologies. Actually, it is over 95%. Roughly the same as it was in 1965. 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2015 2020 Ah, you called Miss Cleo. Ask what Google stock will be at, will you? In the mid-60's, pundits said FM would never make it and radio would die due to TV. Those predictions are as accurate as yours. The satellite numbers are totally bogus, as sat radio has hit a brick wall on new subscriptions and the churn rate is huge after the free trial offers expire. Poor argument - the 1960's didn't have cell phone/streaming, Satellite Radio, the Internet, Internet Radio, etc...no nearly the same situation Bud! * *What's not acknowledged is that FM failed. Twice. * *Before it didn't. FCC mandates were in part responsible. * *Don't underestimate the power of commitment. * *There's been a huge investment in this technology. There's been an FCC mandate that all new modulation schemes be digital. *And there's been a half a billion dollars spent in promotion. The point is not that HD's success is assured, but rather that HD's demise is not assured either. This is not going away anytime soon. It may go away, but it's far from over. * *And the forces that have sway are in a good position to make it a full-on madated conversion. * *If you really want to fight this, you'll not be successful by reporting it's premature demise.- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - "6/1/07 - FCC Releases Detailed Digital Audio Broadcast Rules" "At some point in the future, when the Commission determines there is sufficient market penetration of digital receivers, iBiquity asserts that the public interest will be best served by reversing this presumption to favor digital operations....We decline to adopt iBiquity’s presumption policy because it is too early in the DAB conversion process for us to consider such a mechanism. We find that such a policy, if adopted now, may have unknown and unintended consequences for a new technology that has yet to be accepted by the public or widely adopted by the broadcast industry." http://www.diymedia.net/archive/0607.htm “4/4/07 - FCC: Market to Decide Fate of HD Radio” "Though it appears that the FCC has stopped short of a full-on, enthusiastic endorsement of the technology, it has removed all marketplace barriers to its proliferation. I don't believe this is because the FCC thinks it's the best DAB technology available, but it is the horse that the broadcast industry has its money on. We'll now see whether that bet is a good investment or not, and we'll be forced to learn the hard way whether the technology's shortfalls are as egregious as feared." http://www.diymedia.net/archive/0407.htm - - As I stated, it is up to the marketplace to determine the fate - of HD Radio - with total consumer apathy and zero uptake of - HD radios in two years, HD/IBOC will never happen - I win! - IBOC Crock -proclaims- I Win ! DOH ! - Your Hate of All-Things-Radio Makes You An A#1 Loser - now crock on ~ RHF |
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Attempting to e-mail Howard Stern's show, can't find 'direct e-mail addy' | Broadcasting |