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#1
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![]() And certainly not to fuel IBOCCRock, but if this may be an indicator that the financial interests that have been screwing with RADIO for the past decade, are about to slide out of the mess they've created, and move on to other pastures. Talk about your Good News/Bad News. Radio was never meant to be a Wall Street investment commodity. A business, yes. But not the kind of business that MBA's salivate over. When Money got into broadcasting, much of the public service commitment left the building. There's little or no money in public service. News became a profit center, and as such had to become entertainment. News, when correctly done, is not, and never will be a high profile profit center. It may pay for itself, but News, correctly done, is expensive and it's messy. And it's a key part of public service. What passes for Radio, today, like television, is a commodity. It may be that the money guys are starting to see that Radio, the public, and themselves are not best served as a commodity. If this signals a resetting of priorities...there may be some hope. And a realization that, for those of us who still believe in shortwave, profit is not the Only Thing. Then, again, the brain surgeons in the corner offices at Radio are not known for 'getting it.' I don't need to mention any names. From AllAccess.com Clear Channel Buy-Out Doubts Keep Growing Deal Still Likely, But Doubts Are Growing I don't see anything yet that indicates the deal won't go through... The $19.5 Billion leveraged buy-out of CLEAR CHANNEL COMMUNICATIONS, could be the next victim of the storm in the deal world, reports THE FINANCIAL TIMES. Skepticism that THOMAS H LEE and BAIN CAPITAL will go through with their purchase on the original terms has been fed by the falling share prices of comparable companies. CLEAR CHANNEL's stock traded yesterday at $35.06, a discount to the $39.20 price the buyers agreed in MAY 2007, which suggests that investors are betting against the deal. "It is susceptible to recession but that was built into the plan," said one person familiar with the thinking of the buying group. "There is no good reason to walk." The purchase is expected to receive FCC approval as early as the end of this week. Bankers familiar with the transaction say the buyers are unlikely to do anything before regulators sign off on the deal, if only to keep their options open. "I don't see anything yet that indicates the deal won't go through," said one senior banker involved in the deal. "But there are a lot of undercurrents, including the fact that the returns for the sponsors are terrible and the break-up fee isn't huge." A Tougher Viewpoint 24/7WALLST.COM takes a harsher view, writing "the odds that the buyers of CLEAR CHANNEL (CCU) will walk on the deal are probably north of 99%. The total value of the buy-out is $19.5 billion. According to the FT 'skepticism that THOMAS H. LEE and BAIN CAPITAL will go through with their purchase on the original terms has been fed by the falling share prices of comparable companies.'" If the private equity buyers walk away, they would be likely to have to pay a $500 Million break-up fee to the company. Some of the banks providing the debt are also committed to coming up with some of the equity and would share in paying that fee. Banks have been trying to reduce financing commitments for buy-outs. Even when the deal was first struck, in NOVEMBER 2006, competitors to THOMAS H LEE and BAIN CAPITAL thought the terms aggressive. When contacted by ALL ACCESS, a CLEAR CHANNEL spokesperson declined comment. |
#2
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![]() "D Peter Maus" wrote in message ... If this signals a resetting of priorities...there may be some hope. And a realization that, for those of us who still believe in shortwave, profit is not the Only Thing. Then, again, the brain surgeons in the corner offices at Radio are not known for 'getting it.' I don't need to mention any names. From AllAccess.com Clear Channel Buy-Out Doubts Keep Growing Deal Still Likely, But Doubts Are Growing The root cause for these doubts has nothing to do with radio. It has to do with the mortgage and banking and housing crisis, which has made credit tighter as well as impacting the investment bankers who are part of the radio deals who also may have exposure to mortgage related issues. This same situation affects auto parts companies, biomeds, Internet companies, etc. It's a credit issue, not a radio one. |
#3
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On Jan 8, 10:59*am, D Peter Maus wrote:
* *And certainly not to fuel IBOCCRock, but if this may be an indicator that the financial interests that have been screwing with RADIO for the past decade, are about to slide out of the mess they've created, and move on to other pastures. * *Talk about your Good News/Bad News. * *Radio was never meant to be a Wall Street investment commodity. A business, yes. But not the kind of business that MBA's salivate over. When Money got into broadcasting, much of the public service commitment left the building. There's little or no money in public service. News became a profit center, and as such had to become entertainment. News, when correctly done, is not, and never will be a high profile profit center. It may pay for itself, but News, correctly done, is expensive and it's messy. * *And it's a key part of public service. * *What passes for Radio, today, like television, is a commodity. * *It may be that the money guys are starting to see that Radio, the public, and themselves are not best served as a commodity. * *If this signals a resetting of priorities...there may be some hope. And a realization that, for those of us who still believe in shortwave, profit is not the Only Thing. * *Then, again, the brain surgeons in the corner offices at Radio are not known for 'getting it.' * *I don't need to mention any names. * *From AllAccess.com Clear Channel Buy-Out Doubts Keep Growing Deal Still Likely, But Doubts Are Growing I don't see anything yet that indicates the deal won't go through... The $19.5 Billion leveraged buy-out of CLEAR CHANNEL COMMUNICATIONS, could be the next victim of the storm in the deal world, reports THE FINANCIAL TIMES. Skepticism that THOMAS H LEE and BAIN CAPITAL will go through with their purchase on the original terms has been fed by the falling share prices of comparable companies. CLEAR CHANNEL's stock traded yesterday at $35.06, a discount to the $39.20 price the buyers agreed in MAY 2007, which suggests that investors are betting against the deal. "It is susceptible to recession but that was built into the plan," said one person familiar with the thinking of the buying group. "There is no good reason to walk." The purchase is expected to receive FCC approval as early as the end of this week. Bankers familiar with the transaction say the buyers are unlikely to do anything before regulators sign off on the deal, if only to keep their options open. "I don't see anything yet that indicates the deal won't go through," said one senior banker involved in the deal. "But there are a lot of undercurrents, including the fact that the returns for the sponsors are terrible and the break-up fee isn't huge." A Tougher Viewpoint 24/7WALLST.COM takes a harsher view, writing "the odds that the buyers of CLEAR CHANNEL (CCU) will walk on the deal are probably north of 99%. The total value of the buy-out is $19.5 billion. According to the FT 'skepticism that THOMAS H. LEE and BAIN CAPITAL will go through with their purchase on the original terms has been fed by the falling share prices of comparable companies.'" If the private equity buyers walk away, they would be likely to have to pay a $500 Million break-up fee to the company. Some of the banks providing the debt are also committed to coming up with some of the equity and would share in paying that fee. Banks have been trying to reduce financing commitments for buy-outs. Even when the deal was first struck, in NOVEMBER 2006, competitors to THOMAS H LEE and BAIN CAPITAL thought the terms aggressive. When contacted by ALL ACCESS, a CLEAR CHANNEL spokesperson declined comment. I'm hungry - feed me! |
#4
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On Jan 8, 11:11*am, "David Eduardo" wrote:
"D Peter Maus" wrote in ... * If this signals a resetting of priorities...there may be some hope. And a realization that, for those of us who still believe in shortwave, profit is not the Only Thing. * Then, again, the brain surgeons in the corner offices at Radio are not known for 'getting it.' * I don't need to mention any names. * From AllAccess.com Clear Channel Buy-Out Doubts Keep Growing Deal Still Likely, But Doubts Are Growing The root cause for these doubts has nothing to do with radio. It has to do with the mortgage and banking and housing crisis, which has made credit tighter as well as impacting the investment bankers who are part of the radio deals who also may have exposure to mortgage related issues. This same situation affects auto parts companies, biomeds, Internet companies, etc. It's a credit issue, not a radio one.- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - With terrestrial radio stocks in the penny-stock range, you know damn- well your industry is headed into the ****ter, despite the HD Radio farce. |
#5
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On Jan 8, 11:11 am, "David Eduardo" wrote:
"D Peter Maus" wrote in ... If this signals a resetting of priorities...there may be some hope. And a realization that, for those of us who still believe in shortwave, profit is not the Only Thing. Then, again, the brain surgeons in the corner offices at Radio are not known for 'getting it.' I don't need to mention any names. From AllAccess.com Clear Channel Buy-Out Doubts Keep Growing Deal Still Likely, But Doubts Are Growing The root cause for these doubts has nothing to do with radio. It has to do with the mortgage and banking and housing crisis, which has made credit tighter as well as impacting the investment bankers who are part of the radio deals who also may have exposure to mortgage related issues. This same situation affects auto parts companies, biomeds, Internet companies, etc. It's a credit issue, not a radio one. Eduardo - Your industry is in free-fall due to bad decisions made radio execs that have a total disconnect with their audience. It has nothing to do with the mortgage and banking industry - nice try jw |
#6
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On Jan 8, 11:11*am, "David Eduardo" wrote:
"D Peter Maus" wrote in ... * If this signals a resetting of priorities...there may be some hope. And a realization that, for those of us who still believe in shortwave, profit is not the Only Thing. * Then, again, the brain surgeons in the corner offices at Radio are not known for 'getting it.' * I don't need to mention any names. * From AllAccess.com Clear Channel Buy-Out Doubts Keep Growing Deal Still Likely, But Doubts Are Growing The root cause for these doubts has nothing to do with radio. It has to do with the mortgage and banking and housing crisis, which has made credit tighter as well as impacting the investment bankers who are part of the radio deals who also may have exposure to mortgage related issues. This same situation affects auto parts companies, biomeds, Internet companies, etc. It's a credit issue, not a radio one.- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - "Help the Victims of Consolidation" "With 2008 likely to be a year of career carnage unlike any we have seen to date, this is a good way to do something positive for yourself if you are fortunate enough to remain fully employed and for others who get caught in the tragedy of what has clearly become the radio industry's greatest failure -- consolidation" http://insidemusicmedia.blogspot.com...olidation.html LOL, Eduardo! |
#7
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On Jan 8, 11:11*am, "David Eduardo" wrote:
"D Peter Maus" wrote in ... * If this signals a resetting of priorities...there may be some hope. And a realization that, for those of us who still believe in shortwave, profit is not the Only Thing. * Then, again, the brain surgeons in the corner offices at Radio are not known for 'getting it.' * I don't need to mention any names. * From AllAccess.com Clear Channel Buy-Out Doubts Keep Growing Deal Still Likely, But Doubts Are Growing The root cause for these doubts has nothing to do with radio. It has to do with the mortgage and banking and housing crisis, which has made credit tighter as well as impacting the investment bankers who are part of the radio deals who also may have exposure to mortgage related issues. This same situation affects auto parts companies, biomeds, Internet companies, etc. It's a credit issue, not a radio one.- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - "BRACING FOR THE WORST" "In fact, the earnings report was so dismal that it shocked industry analysts and led to yet another drop in Citadel's already sagging stock price, pushing it further into penny stock territory. Given a brutal outlook for the radio business and its own particularly alarming financial future, the company was forced to write off an unexpectedly large portion of the value of its stations, sending investors running for cover. UPDATE: as the trading day continued, CDL shares were pounded even further, closing down $1.46 at $2.40 a share (a 38% loss in just one day). Volume was a heavy 11.5 million shares (405% higher than normal) and Citadel's total market cap loss for the day was a staggering $385,000,000. As recently as 2003, Citadel shares traded as high as $23.00" http://radioequalizer.blogspot.com/2...er-faces..html Uh, oh - you've gotten me started! |
#8
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On Jan 8, 11:11 am, "David Eduardo" wrote:
"D Peter Maus" wrote in ... If this signals a resetting of priorities...there may be some hope. And a realization that, for those of us who still believe in shortwave, profit is not the Only Thing. Then, again, the brain surgeons in the corner offices at Radio are not known for 'getting it.' I don't need to mention any names. From AllAccess.com Clear Channel Buy-Out Doubts Keep Growing Deal Still Likely, But Doubts Are Growing The root cause for these doubts has nothing to do with radio. It has to do with the mortgage and banking and housing crisis, which has made credit tighter as well as impacting the investment bankers who are part of the radio deals who also may have exposure to mortgage related issues. This same situation affects auto parts companies, biomeds, Internet companies, etc. It's a credit issue, not a radio one.- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - Hey, Eduardo - is your little research staff laughing, now? That is, if they haven't been laid-off, yet. I hope that your retirement isn't in a company-sponsored pension plan - it will get raided by Univision, once it really starts to tank. How does it feel to be in a decline industry? No wonder, the HD Alliance is throwing terrestrial radio under-the bus, in their new joke of a marketing campaign: "HD Radio's New Campaign" "In a sort of snarky approach, the campaign features a humanized radio talking to his owner about why HD Radio product is so attractive and not worth the bother. But in the process, traditional radio is repositioned as old-fashioned, repetitive, and lame... You have to hear these commercials a few times before you really get a basic understanding of what they're trying to accomplish, while they throw AM/FM Radio under the bus." http://jacobsmedia.typepad.com/jacob...ios-new-1.html "GSD&M Preps $200 Mil.+ HD Radio Push" "GSD&M has already begun producing work. The ads feature the voice of cartoon character SpongeBob (actor Tom Kenny) as a conventional car radio calling its owner and leaving messages as if it's a jilted lover. 'You know, I could totally pick up those new extra HD stations if I hit the gym,' the radio says in desperation. 'Is that what you're into now? Huh? Call me!'" http://www.adweek.com/aw/national/ar..._id=1003691980 "Radio: You don't want HD Radio's Bilk-o in your foxhole." "How would you like it if one you believed to be a business partner did an about face and supported the very thing your industry is fighting against? Memo to terrestrial radio: iBiquity and the HD Radio Alliance just double-crossed you." http://gormanmediablog.blogspot.com/...bilk-o-in.html You work in such a proud industry, Eduardo! |
#9
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David Eduardo wrote:
The root cause for these doubts has nothing to do with radio. It has to do with the mortgage and banking and housing crisis, which has made credit tighter as well as impacting the investment bankers who are part of the radio deals who also may have exposure to mortgage related issues. This same situation affects auto parts companies, biomeds, Internet companies, etc. It's a credit issue, not a radio one. Huh? When times are tough you need to push harder. Peter's right, radio is not the most amenable business when it comes to standardization. Every market is unique. Cookie cutters suck. |
#10
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Rfburns wrote:
On Jan 8, 11:11 am, "David Eduardo" wrote: "D Peter Maus" wrote in ... If this signals a resetting of priorities...there may be some hope. And a realization that, for those of us who still believe in shortwave, profit is not the Only Thing. Then, again, the brain surgeons in the corner offices at Radio are not known for 'getting it.' I don't need to mention any names. From AllAccess.com Clear Channel Buy-Out Doubts Keep Growing Deal Still Likely, But Doubts Are Growing The root cause for these doubts has nothing to do with radio. It has to do with the mortgage and banking and housing crisis, which has made credit tighter as well as impacting the investment bankers who are part of the radio deals who also may have exposure to mortgage related issues. This same situation affects auto parts companies, biomeds, Internet companies, etc. It's a credit issue, not a radio one. Eduardo - Your industry is in free-fall due to bad decisions made radio execs that have a total disconnect with their audience. It has nothing to do with the mortgage and banking industry - nice try jw I actually got RF burns a lot when I worked at KRIZ (now KOY). In the mid '60s you had to take antenna current measurements (every 30 minutes!) at the base of the tower, which involved a big-ass slide switch. If you touched the wrong stuff you'd get bad to the bone RF burns. |
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