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#31
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![]() "Steve Stone" wrote in message ... I'm a database analyst by day and I know statistics can be made to say anything you want them to say, especially if you ask the wrong questions that reflect what the reviewer wants to hear and not what the public wants to tell them. In most radio station testing, you do not even use questions. You have people score songs and program content, using a dial. In any case, why, for gosh sakes, would a radio station do testing or perceptual research which yields wrong results? I have never heard of a staiton or statrion staff that wanted ratings to go down. So weeks and weeks are spent working with professional researchers and statisticians to make sure that there is no question wording bias, no interviewer bias and that the qustions are clear. Further time is spent in setting a recruit specification that reflects the core audience or an audience segment that you wish to bring into the project. There are several dozen very professional companies that do research for radio stations. A couple of companies have hired very good people and do projects in house with thier own research divsion. Some even operate permanent call centers with 20 to 40 seats, rotating projects and markets where the company operates. All this is beyond Arbitron, which is a sales tool and excruciatingly well audited by researchers and statisticions in a committee appointed by advertisers, not radio, to make sure rating reflect the real size and composition of audience that stations are charging for. As a typical listener with the typical radio found in Wal-Mart I could get a single AM station with local sourced programming and as you can tell I am not fond of that daytimers programming. There are currently no local FM outlets in my immediate area that are not lights out satellite or microwave feeds from remote studios. That sounds like a small market. Very small. The FCC in its infinite wisdom , allowed a t0ousand or so new staitons, mostly in small markets, about 15 years ago. It made profitability nearly impossible in some places. To discuss this intelligently, it would be nice if you revealed the name of the city. Just FYI, nearly no FMs today broadcast from their transmitter. They use microwave or T1s to send the signal form the studios to the transmitter. What you call "microwave feeds" are the usual way of linking studios and transmitter for the last 30 years or more. T1s are replacing them, as they are more robust and have two way data capabilities. But, having the transmitter remote fromt he studio is nothing odd, and does nothing for or against the quality of programming. When I moved to this area 25 years ago there were multiple AM and FM stations with local sourced programming that served the public interest with decent local news programs, local interest call in talk shows, lots of different types of music programming and they alerted the public to local emergencies and disasters that might impact their listeners. I did not like all of what I heard but at least I had a choice. What city, please. Otherwise, it souds like you are making a straw market (the city equivalent of a straw man) to support your argument with no real facts. Today the programming in my area is stale. The programming is repetitive and redundant. The programming does not serve the public interest. How do you know? Have you surveyed th epublic? I would bet the statins have, and I would bet they are doing exactly what the listeners want. The numbers you throw up do not reflect my areas reality. For all I know, you are talking about Durban, South Africa. Until you "reveal" the city, your points are without value. So what is my solution ? For AM I throw up a 150 foot wire antenna attached to my Kenwood TS-430S to catch a few stations with programming I appreciate. For FM its a deep fringe VHF/UHF roof antenna, mast mount preamp and rotor to pull worthwhile stations out of the mud, or the XM radio feed provided with my DirecTV subscription, or if I wish to go back in history I have converted my entire record and tape collection to CD-R and MP3. This gives me a collection of popular music that includes my Great Grandfathers Jazz 78's from the 1920's (lateral and vertical cut), my Grandfathers Swing record collection, my Fathers 1950's record collection and early reel to reel tapes of variety TV shows of the late 1950s and early 60s, tapes of early FM Stereo programming, and my own 60's thru 80's record and tape collection. So I have other choices. Probably more than most of the general public. This proves you have broad and very eclectic tastes. That is nice. Most people don't. A few years ago, a station went on in San Antonio, playing 57 hip hop songs. In 90 days, it was #1 in the market. It had only changed about 12 of the songs in the 90 days. Today, it is in its 5th year at #1 and stronger now than before. It plays about 100 songs in total. It changes a couple in and out each week. It beats the #2 station by about 30%. Its listeners, when interviewed, love the station and think it has the absolute best variety of music on the planet. that is because the 100 songs are what the listeners say they want to hear. that is how it works. |
#32
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![]() "Eric F. Richards" wrote in message ... "Steve Stone" wrote: I'm a database analyst by day and I know statistics can be made to say anything you want them to say, especially if you ask the wrong questions that reflect what the reviewer wants to hear and not what the public wants to tell them. I tried making that point a couple months ago, with no affect. Everyone thinks that any collection of data can be analyzed with a normal distribution... and it just ain't so. You and steve miss the point . Radio staitons have no reason to order bad research. Jobs depend on increasing or holding ratings. Very good companies are used, and they spend lots of time avoiding the pitfalls you mention. Likewise, like you say, surveys are often -- perhaps usually -- slanted to return the results they want. My personal experience with Arbitron left me unimpressed. Advertisers have a committe that audits them. That is adequate for them to spend about $21 billion on radio advertising. Advertisers seem to believe the nature of Arbitron ratings far more than your rather distorted and inaccurate to the Nth degree analysis of thier function and methodolgy (you do not even get the terms of the trade right). The whole radio ratings game is a self-serving, narrow minded exercise in mutual masturbation. Eventually the listeners will abandon radio for podcasts, MP3s, email lists to discuss the latest bands, and so on. Radio can no longer count on its captive audience. It never could. 45's, TV, cassettes, CDs cable, satellite TV, satellite radio, 8-Tracks, video games, etc., etc. all compete or have tried. Radio is pretty resilient and still reaches 93% to 94% of Americans weekly for about the same amount of time as in 1950. There are and always have been people, like you and Steve., who expect something else... sort of like asking for the New Yorker to publish a Fargo edition... that is actually of interest to nearly nobody. |
#33
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David Eduardo wrote:
"Steve Stone" wrote in message ... I'm a database analyst by day and I know statistics can be made to say anything you want them to say, especially if you ask the wrong questions that reflect what the reviewer wants to hear and not what the public wants to tell them. In most radio station testing, you do not even use questions. You have people score songs and program content, using a dial. In his book, Get Back In The Box (http://www.rushkoff.com/box.html), Douglas Rushkoff describes what happens when marketing gets too obsessed with drawing people in to buy. It becomes dreary and painful. Rushkoff also debunks the value of focus groups by showing that the choices of who listens aren't really as random as those nice folks at those research firms would have you believe. What you are hearing from this crowd is that many are sick and tired of the efforts to market stations so tightly. Owners have to loosen up or people will pretty much ignore the marketing. It's like stores which are calculated and studied to provide the maximum number of cues to get people to want to buy Buy BUY! The stress of such environments from keeping your guard up all the time against subliminal marketing is not small. People are tired of the mentality of those who would play the sound of roaring chainsaws if there was a buck in it. You're in the business of engaging and attracting listeners. If you think that is best done by statistics, then you must have one of those pictures of Elvis on black velvet in your office. It's been selected by a focus group... In any case, why, for gosh sakes, would a radio station do testing or perceptual research which yields wrong results? I have never heard of a staiton or statrion staff that wanted ratings to go down. So weeks and weeks are spent working with professional researchers and statisticians to make sure that there is no question wording bias, no interviewer bias and that the qustions are clear. Further time is spent in setting a recruit specification that reflects the core audience or an audience segment that you wish to bring into the project. Why would a radio station do this? Because of a herd mentality which says this works. And as such it does work --sort of. If you only have a choice of bland, drab, same, and similar in highly formatted stations, guess what happens? People lose their taste for the unusual. As you say, it's been going on since the 1950s. How would you know what's different from this? There are several dozen very professional companies that do research for radio stations. A couple of companies have hired very good people and do projects in house with thier own research divsion. Some even operate permanent call centers with 20 to 40 seats, rotating projects and markets where the company operates. All this is beyond Arbitron, which is a sales tool and excruciatingly well audited by researchers and statisticions in a committee appointed by advertisers, not radio, to make sure rating reflect the real size and composition of audience that stations are charging for. Let's do art by statistics. I'd like to see what the average painting would look like after you have sent it through a few focus groups. Would you hang it up on your wall? How about a picture of Elvis on black velvet? This proves you have broad and very eclectic tastes. That is nice. Most people don't. Yes, but is that because they choose to be that way, or because they've been living in a bland environment since 1950? How did most new formats get started? By listening to stuff THAT WASN'T ON THE RADIO. Did Rap music get its start on radio or in clubs? Did early Rock and Roll get it's start in the formatted, conformist radio of the day? Or did it get a big boost from people listening to Mexican Radio stations? I could go on like this. Most new "formats" got their start from somewhere else. The latest contribution from formatted radio? The "Jack" format. Nothing but a bunch of canned wisecracks in between a mashup of all the Rock from 1970 to the present. Gee. That's supposed to be original? A few years ago, a station went on in San Antonio, playing 57 hip hop songs. In 90 days, it was #1 in the market. It had only changed about 12 of the songs in the 90 days. Today, it is in its 5th year at #1 and stronger now than before. It plays about 100 songs in total. It changes a couple in and out each week. It beats the #2 station by about 30%. Its listeners, when interviewed, love the station and think it has the absolute best variety of music on the planet. that is because the 100 songs are what the listeners say they want to hear. that is how it works. Yuck! Most people have more CDs than that. David, people are saying that the choice of music is an art, not a statistical science. Near my market, there is a radio station that actually advertises +the fact that they do not use focus groups, program directors, or their ilk. It's WRNR. They rely on their DJ's judgment. What a concept! Sometimes it's unlistenable. Others, you simply can't bring yourself to turn off the radio. But there is never a dull moment, and it has a spot on the station buttons in my truck even though I can only hear them toward the end of my 45 minute commute. One thing I want to point out to you about the artists I mentioned in my previous post, ALL of them were highly controversial. Many things they did weren't popular right away. Most focus groups would have trashed these artists. You would never have seen these folks on the air before they gathered a following outside the medium. This is why we say that radio is a vast wasteland. You are talking about marketing, not art. Now, in the scheme of things, I'm saying there isn't anything wrong with non-stop marketing. But they have to draw their ideas from SOMEWHERE. Radio today is saturated with bland, simple, uber-happy talk, and a very limited selection of statistics driven music tracks --what make you think that it hasn't affected listening patterns? If there is so little R&D done in this business, then where do the marketeers get their ideas from? Oh that's right. Someone takes a risk. No wonder everyone thinks the same as you do... Jake Brodsky AB3A |
#34
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![]() "Jake Brodsky" wrote in message ... David Eduardo wrote: "Steve Stone" wrote in message ... I'm a database analyst by day and I know statistics can be made to say anything you want them to say, especially if you ask the wrong questions that reflect what the reviewer wants to hear and not what the public wants to tell them. In most radio station testing, you do not even use questions. You have people score songs and program content, using a dial. In his book, Get Back In The Box (http://www.rushkoff.com/box.html), Douglas Rushkoff describes what happens when marketing gets too obsessed with drawing people in to buy. It becomes dreary and painful. This is one person's opinion, vs. the empirical evidence of ratings improvements after testing music. Rushkoff also debunks the value of focus groups by showing that the choices of who listens aren't really as random as those nice folks at those research firms would have you believe. Radio hardly ever uses focus groups. Music testing is done by gathering information just as Arbitron does on potential recruits, and then selecting those that either use your staitons enough or use comparable stations enough to be of value in evaluating music selections one by one. What you are hearing from this crowd is that many are sick and tired of the efforts to market stations so tightly. Owners have to loosen up or people will pretty much ignore the marketing. Sorry, but stations have used music research since the 50's, none of it based on your supposition that they are conducting focus groups, and there are very few cases of stations improving ratings by not doing research vs. many that do by doing it. I have many times competed with unresearched "gut feel" staitons and the whupping they have received has been as big as a 10 to 1 margin (it is more usual for it to be in the 1.5 to 1 to 2.5 to 1 range, though) It's like stores which are calculated and studied to provide the maximum number of cues to get people to want to buy Buy BUY! The stress of such environments from keeping your guard up all the time against subliminal marketing is not small. You are confusing getting people into the strore with the merchandise assortment. Retal first seeks to get people in, but they use merchandise "hooks" such as selection, price, sales, etc., to get folks there. Radio uses marketing, separately conceived, to get folks to "cume" a station and then they use "merchandise assortment" which means the number and selection of songs (or topics on talsk) to get them to stay (like buying in retail). You have confused cume driven marketing with the actual programming. Your error is fatal to your argument, showing you do not understand the dynamic of cume and TSL, the only tow things ratings measure. Cume is considered a "usage" of a station in the survey period, while TSL is how much listening to the station was given. Cume is getting to the store, and Time Spent Listening is how much they consumer "buys." You need a range of both to win. People are tired of the mentality of those who would play the sound of roaring chainsaws if there was a buck in it. You're in the business of engaging and attracting listeners. If you think that is best done by statistics, then you must have one of those pictures of Elvis on black velvet in your office. It's been selected by a focus group... We are in the business of keeping listeners, much more than attracting them. Each format will have a potential partisan base. A country listener will seldom use an R&B or Spanish station, so we can, with fairly simple procedures, know in each market the potential of one genre of programming based on demographics and prior experinece in other markets. So the big job is to tell people they have the option, and then do as good a job in playing the right songs in the right atmosphere that we can. In any case, why, for gosh sakes, would a radio station do testing or perceptual research which yields wrong results? I have never heard of a staiton or statrion staff that wanted ratings to go down. So weeks and weeks are spent working with professional researchers and statisticians to make sure that there is no question wording bias, no interviewer bias and that the qustions are clear. Further time is spent in setting a recruit specification that reflects the core audience or an audience segment that you wish to bring into the project. Why would a radio station do this? Because of a herd mentality which says this works. And as such it does work --sort of. If you only have a choice of bland, drab, same, and similar in highly formatted stations, guess what happens? People lose their taste for the unusual. There never was a taste for the unusuall. When AM radio was first supposed to die, right after the TV freeze was lifted, we had only two formats in the US... MOR (Gogi Grant to Perry Como and the bands) and the emerging Top 40 (first one in August 1952). Top 40 beame mostly rock 'n' roll, and MOR was older adult oriented. Then, in some markets, we had country (only limited viability in the 50's) and Spanish (just a handful of markets). And a few "race" stations in deep south Black markets Nothing else. As radio developed as a music medium, we found that Top 40 was 3 formats, AC, CHR and Rock. And Rock became multiple formats. And old Top 40 became oldies. And country became viable, as did R&B and Spanish and religion and talk and other formats. The "narrowness" you descibre always existed. Listeners settled for liking every other song on Toop 40 because there was nothing else. Once the AC songs were dropped and only rock was played, some were more happy with the AC and others with the rock. They became superserved compared to being settlers. Most folks do not want a variety on the same station. They want predictability. If they are of a mood for something else, they go to a different station. As you say, it's been going on since the 1950s. How would you know what's different from this? By watching stations that DON'T do it I work a lot outside the US, and often have the opportunity to kill competitors dead when they think that variety is MORE songs and that asking the listener what they like and dislike is not necessary. I also know by having tried the opposite and failed miserably. All this is beyond Arbitron, which is a sales tool and excruciatingly well audited by researchers and statisticions in a committee appointed by advertisers, not radio, to make sure rating reflect the real size and composition of audience that stations are charging for. Let's do art by statistics. I'd like to see what the average painting would look like after you have sent it through a few focus groups. Would you hang it up on your wall? How about a picture of Elvis on black velvet? We are not creating a painting. we are providing a museum. The paintings are the songs or the talk topics. They are pre-created and gallery attendees know what they like or don't in art, and go based on whether our gallery shows good stuff or not. Your analogy fails terribly, again. This proves you have broad and very eclectic tastes. That is nice. Most people don't. Yes, but is that because they choose to be that way, or because they've been living in a bland environment since 1950? It has been proven by analyzing successes and failures that stations with cohesive playlists of researched songs do better than any of the alternatives. Plenty of staitons have tried the other ways, and there is a reason they have not survived. How did most new formats get started? By listening to stuff THAT WASN'T ON THE RADIO. Did Rap music get its start on radio or in clubs? radio reflects taste, and does not usually create it. Radio picks up on change and adopts it. Hip hop (which was a progression from rap) just eased in on the Urban and CHR staitons. Rap broke into radio, as often happens, when one artist has a big, crossover hit. Did early Rock and Roll get it's start in the formatted, conformist radio of the day? Rock 'n' roll broke out of race stations, which was the name Black staitons were called in the 50's. Then, several DJs in Cleveland, Alan Freed and Pete "Mad Daddy" Myers and Bill Randall started playing the tunes on Top 40 stations, especially at night. It then spread. Or did it get a big boost from people listening to Mexican Radio stations? Nope. It got its bigest boost form Todd Storz and Gordon McLendon. I could go on like this. Most new "formats" got their start from somewhere else. That is correct. If you take a new music form and build a staiton around it, it is usually too much of a new thing One station about two years ago tried an all Chill format. It died. Nobody liked chill enough to listen all the time. The latest contribution from formatted radio? The "Jack" format. Nothing but a bunch of canned wisecracks in between a mashup of all the Rock from 1970 to the present. Gee. That's supposed to be original? It is a relief and a broad wampling of the biggest hits from multiple genres all on one staiton, with no jocks. The biggest sell is the jocklessness, as many listeners in the target group hate all jocks. Anyway, most formats don't "happen" but, rather, they evolve from other formats. Jack is an evolutionary format, mixing CHR and Rock and creating an oldies format for boomers. A few years ago, a station went on in San Antonio, playing 57 hip hop songs. In 90 days, it was #1 in the market. It had only changed about 12 of the songs in the 90 days. Today, it is in its 5th year at #1 and stronger now than before. It plays about 100 songs in total. It changes a couple in and out each week. It beats the #2 station by about 30%. Its listeners, when interviewed, love the station and think it has the absolute best variety of music on the planet. that is because the 100 songs are what the listeners say they want to hear. that is how it works. Yuck! Most people have more CDs than that. So? It works! If they wanted to listen to the CDs, they would and could. The fact is, they like the blend and the jocks and the events the statin does and so on. they are after the concotion, not the ingredients. David, people are saying that the choice of music is an art, not a statistical science. Near my market, there is a radio station that actually advertises +the fact that they do not use focus groups, program directors, or their ilk. It's WRNR. They rely on their DJ's judgment. What a concept! Yeah, it is 31st in the ratings, very near the point where it will not even qualify for listing. What a wonderful concept. Totally ignore the listener and what they want to hear, and say to them, "I don't care if you don't like brocolli... eat it!" Listeners do the obvious... they don't listen in droves. That is a horrible concept, certainly the kind of think an inexperieced owner at the fringe of a metro would do. the owner, by the way, is a guy who was one of the most research driven programmers in the US... and I would bet that every cut in the library is pre-approved from a safe list. No research (probably can't afford it) so they use a compendium of the songs AAA staitons in the US play, and the jocks can play any of them they want. That is simply using someone elses research in a different market. One thing I want to point out to you about the artists I mentioned in my previous post, ALL of them were highly controversial. Many things they did weren't popular right away. Most focus groups would have trashed these artists. You would never have seen these folks on the air before they gathered a following outside the medium. Again, again, again, again. We do not use focus groups to test music. We only test familiar music. All new songs are judgement calls, and we test them after the listeners have heard them enough to judge emotionally, not analitically. we don't test artists, we test songs. Stations add plenty of new songs, often by unknown artists. Using the #1 AC station in LA as an example, more than half the artists in the current categories were unknown 5 years ago. So that station must have, at some point, been the first radio station in the market to play them. And they gathered a following because the station played them, as where else would they be heard? This is why we say that radio is a vast wasteland. You are talking about marketing, not art. It is a blend of marketing to get folks in, science and art to get them to stay, and sales to make it profitable to keep doing it. Now, in the scheme of things, I'm saying there isn't anything wrong with non-stop marketing. But they have to draw their ideas from SOMEWHERE. Radio today is saturated with bland, simple, uber-happy talk, and a very limited selection of statistics driven music tracks --what make you think that it hasn't affected listening patterns? If there is so little R&D done in this business, then where do the marketeers get their ideas from? Oh that's right. Someone takes a risk. No wonder everyone thinks the same as you do... We test new format blend all the time. We look at ways of combining music in different ways, balancing in different ways, etc. We add now songs by new artists on every format that plays new music every week. we know too much new music kills us, and we know that not enough makes us stale. We have an intuitive idea of how a station should sound (good PDs can hear a station in their head long before it is on the air), and most listeners are very happy. |
#36
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In article ,
Jake Brodsky wrote: Snip Having vented my spleen, let me say this to all you folk who think that nothing can sound better than AM: Get over it. The biggest problem with MW and SW AM broadcasting is that we don't have a capture effect of any sort. AM can not have such an effect. But digital modes can clean up the act considerably. Sorry, Telemon, some bright folks on a few industry committees will find a reasonable suite of digital standards some day, and when they do, AM will go the way of morse code. It can't happen soon enough in my not so humble opinion. You will never convince me that digital artifacts are worse than heterodyne whistles and opposite sideband artifacts from a station 10 kHz away. Snip There are two issues he 1. What is actually operating to the current DRM standards. 2. What can be engineered. Regarding #1 I fail to see how replacing "heterodyne whistles" that I can normally adjust my receiver to mitigate anyway and replace that with "digital artifacts" as an improvement. In other words replacing one type of noise with another. I rationally can not accept this trade of one type of noise for another type of noise as "better." The problem I have with DRM is that it currently is not an improvement and just provides a different listening experience not better in general. They (the DRM consortium) claim the "possible" while providing the "actual" like it is the same thing. This is a bait and switch tactic and I'm not buying it. Regarding #2 Can DRM be better than current analog? You bet it can! Can you stuff more information into the same bandwidth? No! So in order to offer "better" sound quality the signal will have to occupy more bandwidth not the same. Compression algorithms trade an increase in information rate for an amount of distortion or artifacts. I don't see any research to change this trade where you can have your cake and eat it too. There is the theoretical rule that a numerical sized bandwidth can support a numerical value of information rate. For a DRM signal to "sound better" it would have to overcome this rule. Compression algorithms can not violate this rule without other consequences such as sound quality. The result is that DRM will have to use larger bandwidth than the current analog scheme to it to actually be "better." Where "better" is defined as good sounding audio without the artifacts and manage this with a weaker signal whether that weakness is due to propagation, the transmitter using less power, or both. If broadcasters and listeners want to accept fewer available channels then this can be an eventuality but listeners must in addition accept that broadcasters will have control over who can listen and that over time broadcasters can change the rules. ******************************* I take the long view. The long view is freedom of information, which is a fundamental right in this country. If broadcasters are going to implement a scheme where by they control who can receive the information for whatever reason then we will have an information cast system. This debate is just starting and it will be an issue in every delivery system be it Internet, AM/FM BCB or short wave. From the beginning to now if you bought any kind of service from an ISP you got the whole Internet. From the beginning until now if you bought a radio you got the whole of all programming it was capable of receiving. This is going to change in the future if we accept what the industries are pushing, which is a subscription model in addition to the equipment cost. The USA understands and accepts money for access to "premium" content but there has to be a broader availability of the free content guaranteed or we will lose a part of what we are as a nation. -- Telamon Ventura, California |
#37
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![]() Brenda Ann wrote: no matter how you dress up a pig, all you're gonna get out of it is pig ****. I thought you ended up with a really nice-looking roast in a three-piece suit.... ![]() -- steph |
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BTW Stevie were watch the news lately about NASA | Policy | |||
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a great read | CB | |||
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Amateur Radio Newslineâ„¢ Report 1415 Â September 24, 2004 | CB |