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#1
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"Steve Stone" wrote:
I'm a database analyst by day and I know statistics can be made to say anything you want them to say, especially if you ask the wrong questions that reflect what the reviewer wants to hear and not what the public wants to tell them. I tried making that point a couple months ago, with no affect. Everyone thinks that any collection of data can be analyzed with a normal distribution... and it just ain't so. Likewise, like you say, surveys are often -- perhaps usually -- slanted to return the results they want. My personal experience with Arbitron left me unimpressed. The whole radio ratings game is a self-serving, narrow minded exercise in mutual masturbation. Eventually the listeners will abandon radio for podcasts, MP3s, email lists to discuss the latest bands, and so on. Radio can no longer count on its captive audience. -- Eric F. Richards, "It’s easy to fall into the trap of thinking that the purpose of a business is to make money. But the real purpose of a business is to create value. While it’s possible to make money in the short run without creating much value, in the long run it’s unsustainable. Even criminal organizations have to create value for someone." - Steve Pavlina, April 10, 2006 |
#2
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![]() "Eric F. Richards" wrote in message ... "Steve Stone" wrote: I'm a database analyst by day and I know statistics can be made to say anything you want them to say, especially if you ask the wrong questions that reflect what the reviewer wants to hear and not what the public wants to tell them. I tried making that point a couple months ago, with no affect. Everyone thinks that any collection of data can be analyzed with a normal distribution... and it just ain't so. You and steve miss the point . Radio staitons have no reason to order bad research. Jobs depend on increasing or holding ratings. Very good companies are used, and they spend lots of time avoiding the pitfalls you mention. Likewise, like you say, surveys are often -- perhaps usually -- slanted to return the results they want. My personal experience with Arbitron left me unimpressed. Advertisers have a committe that audits them. That is adequate for them to spend about $21 billion on radio advertising. Advertisers seem to believe the nature of Arbitron ratings far more than your rather distorted and inaccurate to the Nth degree analysis of thier function and methodolgy (you do not even get the terms of the trade right). The whole radio ratings game is a self-serving, narrow minded exercise in mutual masturbation. Eventually the listeners will abandon radio for podcasts, MP3s, email lists to discuss the latest bands, and so on. Radio can no longer count on its captive audience. It never could. 45's, TV, cassettes, CDs cable, satellite TV, satellite radio, 8-Tracks, video games, etc., etc. all compete or have tried. Radio is pretty resilient and still reaches 93% to 94% of Americans weekly for about the same amount of time as in 1950. There are and always have been people, like you and Steve., who expect something else... sort of like asking for the New Yorker to publish a Fargo edition... that is actually of interest to nearly nobody. |
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