The horizontally polarized transmission has its E-Field parallel to
earth. Earth is a conductor (albeit a poor one, but in comparison to
free space, it is quite a short circuit). That E-Field's two
potentials are being laid across that conductor during the wave
propagation to that far point where EZNEC then sums up all field
contributions to present you with the lobe characteristic. It stands
to reason that at that great distance, the wave will have attenuated
considerably - hence the low value.

Removing the short circuit (going to free space) removes this
attenuation.

73's
Richard Clark, KB7QHC

NEC will calculate "Space wave plus surface wave" if required.

Frank