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#1
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"Anthony Matonak" wrote in message ... .... I think the main point is that solar PV is a technology that does not require massive infrastructure. It's something that can be done on an individual and distributed basis. The big power companies really don't have that much advantage over individuals. Sorry Anthony, but I think this is quite wrong. Solar PV requires a very large infrastructure to build, and a substantial infrastructure to maintain. The cells may last 100 years, but the inverters, storage batteries and the like, are more typically 5-10 years. And, many of us do not live where sunlight is all that reliable. The more unreliable, the larger and more expensive the system that is required, and the more severe compromises have to be made to keep the night light on. The PV systems, to obtain maximum practical usage for the civilization as a whole, need to be installed in mass in the desert regions down in the temperate zones in the us, Texas and like that. This puts the big power companies in the cat bird seat, still. But it is that, or pay 3-4 times as much for the same electricity from a system that gives you constant headaches maintaining yourself, and one that may actually consume more power to build and install than it can produce in it's life, because we insist on living where we want instead of where solar power pays off. |
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#2
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Fred B. McGalliard wrote:
"Anthony Matonak" wrote in message I think the main point is that solar PV is a technology that does not require massive infrastructure. It's something that can be done on an individual and distributed basis. The big power companies really don't have that much advantage over individuals. Sorry Anthony, but I think this is quite wrong. Solar PV requires a very large infrastructure to build, and a substantial infrastructure to maintain. I don't know about that. Solar PV can be used in any size from digital watches to powering hotels. Big power companies have to buy the same parts as individuals and would mostly pay similar prices. The large infrastructure to build and maintain them is called "the rest of civilization" for the most part and is accessible for an individual as it is for a big power company. The cells may last 100 years, but the inverters, storage batteries and the like, are more typically 5-10 years. And, many of us do not live where sunlight is all that reliable. The more unreliable, the larger and more expensive the system that is required, and the more severe compromises have to be made to keep the night light on. The PV systems, to obtain maximum practical usage for the civilization as a whole, need to be installed in mass in the desert regions down in the temperate zones in the us, Texas and like that. This puts the big power companies in the cat bird seat, still. Oddly enough, many people do live where the sunlight is fairly reliable and a PV system can be small enough to be practical for an individual. The civilization as a whole is just a collection of individuals when you look at it closely enough. But it is that, or pay 3-4 times as much for the same electricity from a system that gives you constant headaches maintaining yourself, and one that may actually consume more power to build and install than it can produce in it's life, because we insist on living where we want instead of where solar power pays off. Grid tied systems need close to zero maintenance so I hardly see that as giving constant headaches. Even with a battery system, I've heard about some that only require a checkup every six months or so. Lastly, while PV may be more expensive than grid power, I don't think that a big power company can build solar PV all that much cheaper than anyone else. Anthony |
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#3
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"Anthony Matonak" wrote in message ... .... I don't know about that. Solar PV can be used in any size from digital watches to powering hotels. Big power companies have to buy the same parts as individuals and would mostly pay similar prices. The large infrastructure to build and maintain them is called "the rest of civilization" for the most part and is accessible for an individual as it is for a big power company. So, first you have to build and support a huge civilization, not stand alone as an individual. Big point that. The power company would buy in really large blocks, install in a single area without pre-existing structures in the way. I would be surprised if their PV installed cost were (assuming they are in this for profit not subsidies) any more than a third what the individual must suffer. Of course a skilled do it yourselfer with time to hunt up bargains might do a lot better, but this has to apply to the whole people, not just the few. .... Oddly enough, many people do live where the sunlight is fairly reliable and a PV system can be small enough to be practical for an individual. The civilization as a whole is just a collection of individuals when you look at it closely enough. I am not saying that an individual cannot spend an arm and a leg, buy a system that is three times the size of an optimized well sited system, overwhelm everything with massive and expensive battery storage, and be perfectly happy with running out of power in the middle of microwaving his hot dogs, but you gotta recognize that overall this process needs to be made as inexpensive as possible or it will make most of us a lot poorer. I am concerned that you are seeing that a PV system can be built, but not what the trade offs of this system imply to our lives. I believe that when PV electricity becomes cheaper than coal/natural gas/uranium, (if it can), then most of us will be buying most of our electricity from huge PV arrays in the southern deserts, not from a little farm outside our town. There will be few who will "roll their own", and some small town back up plants for summer peaks and such, but the bulk power has to be the cheap power and that has to be large and in the right place to make solar power. .... Grid tied systems need close to zero maintenance so I hardly see that as giving constant headaches. Even with a battery system, I've heard about some that only require a checkup every six months or so. Lastly, while PV may be more expensive than grid power, I don't think that a big power company can build solar PV all that much cheaper than anyone else. Grid tie is great for a small system or two. If we get more than 20% from such systems, the grid has to be redesigned to be a storage system of sorts. I overstated what I think is the actual level of difficulty to get you to think about the demand you are making on the ordinary citizen to maintain his private power system. Every few years he has something break down, and he knows nothing about it. The maintenance costs eat his profit for dinner. A tree branch, an ice storm, a battery failure, a lightening bolt, and his system is disconnected from the grid so he can turn his lights on, and we are back to the centralized distributions system. Your last point, that you think a big company can not build PV much cheaper than Joe, and the general implication that the cost to Joe of electricity from his local PV system is competitive with ConEd from the Mohave Desert by way of the grid, needs a lot more quantification I think. As I recall there is around a 3 to 1 difference in the average solar insolation between Seattle and Phoenix, for example. It is pretty hard to make up for that kind of a cost differential, but on top of that you have to add even more storage someplace for all that electricity, since the winter insolation up here is really crappy for months on end. That is one heck of a lot of storage, and to do it locally is generally from hard to impossible. (In Seattle we might be able to find a nearby mountain valley we could turn into a lake for hydrostorage, but a lot of locations are a long ways from any possible storage site). . |
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#4
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Anthony Matonak wrote:
Fred B. McGalliard wrote: "Anthony Matonak" wrote in message I think the main point is that solar PV is a technology that does not require massive infrastructure. It's something that can be done on an individual and distributed basis. The big power companies really don't have that much advantage over individuals. Sorry Anthony, but I think this is quite wrong. Solar PV requires a very large infrastructure to build, and a substantial infrastructure to maintain. I don't know about that. Solar PV can be used in any size from digital watches to powering hotels. [snip] The point is not whether or not they can be used, but whether or not they can be used economically and profitably. |
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#5
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Watson A.Name \"Watt Sun - the Dark Remover\" wrote:
Anthony Matonak wrote: Fred B. McGalliard wrote: Sorry Anthony, but I think this is quite wrong. Solar PV requires a very large infrastructure to build, and a substantial infrastructure to maintain. I don't know about that. Solar PV can be used in any size from digital watches to powering hotels. [snip] The point is not whether or not they can be used, but whether or not they can be used economically and profitably. Oh, if that was the point then it's already been decided. Right now, solar PV is not economical or profitable except in niche applications not connected to the grid. Tomorrow... who knows? It does seem to be getting cheaper all the time. This, of course, has nothing to do with the question of "Is the profitable use of solar PV limited to big mega-corporations?" If we go back a couple of articles in this thread... KR Williams wrote: In article , box says... KR Williams wrote: My guess though, is that solar cells for the individual will never become cheaper than power from the grid, since the power company has access to the same technology and a *lot* better financing possibilities. ...and they don't have to have the pay- back in my lifetime. They have access to the tech, BUT, they also have to maintain the distribution system. ... All this is avoided cost on home solar. There is still a huge advantage of scale. Some technologies simply can not be affordably implemented on a small homeowner scale and for them to be used you need a big company or co-op. Solar PV is not in that category. The example of a solar powered radio shows this. It does not require huge resources to build, buy or maintain. The basic idea is that when it comes to solar PV installations there really isn't much advantage of scale. A huge installation will cost only slightly less per watt as a smaller one. Anthony |
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#6
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On a sunny day (Tue, 20 Apr 2004 17:11:38 -0700) it happened Anthony Matonak
wrote in : Watson A.Name \"Watt Sun - the Dark Remover\" wrote: Anthony Matonak wrote: Fred B. McGalliard wrote: Sorry Anthony, but I think this is quite wrong. Solar PV requires a very large infrastructure to build, and a substantial infrastructure to maintain. I don't know about that. Solar PV can be used in any size from digital watches to powering hotels. [snip] The point is not whether or not they can be used, but whether or not they can be used economically and profitably. Oh, if that was the point then it's already been decided. Right now, solar PV is not economical or profitable except in niche applications not connected to the grid. Tomorrow... who knows? It does seem to be getting cheaper all the time. This, of course, has nothing to do with the question of "Is the profitable use of solar PV limited to big mega-corporations?" I like it that the Dutch solar car went cross Australia in 3 days or so with an average of over 100 km/h last year. Now here is a very sensible application in a suitable 'solar' climate. Those photocells were the same as used by the European Space Agency. I would love to have a few square meters of those to play with. JP |
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#7
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On a sunny day (Tue, 20 Apr 2004 17:11:38 -0700) it happened Anthony Matonak
wrote in : Watson A.Name \"Watt Sun - the Dark Remover\" wrote: Anthony Matonak wrote: Fred B. McGalliard wrote: Sorry Anthony, but I think this is quite wrong. Solar PV requires a very large infrastructure to build, and a substantial infrastructure to maintain. I don't know about that. Solar PV can be used in any size from digital watches to powering hotels. [snip] The point is not whether or not they can be used, but whether or not they can be used economically and profitably. Oh, if that was the point then it's already been decided. Right now, solar PV is not economical or profitable except in niche applications not connected to the grid. Tomorrow... who knows? It does seem to be getting cheaper all the time. This, of course, has nothing to do with the question of "Is the profitable use of solar PV limited to big mega-corporations?" I like it that the Dutch solar car went cross Australia in 3 days or so with an average of over 100 km/h last year. Now here is a very sensible application in a suitable 'solar' climate. Those photocells were the same as used by the European Space Agency. I would love to have a few square meters of those to play with. JP |
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#8
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Watson A.Name \"Watt Sun - the Dark Remover\" wrote:
Anthony Matonak wrote: Fred B. McGalliard wrote: Sorry Anthony, but I think this is quite wrong. Solar PV requires a very large infrastructure to build, and a substantial infrastructure to maintain. I don't know about that. Solar PV can be used in any size from digital watches to powering hotels. [snip] The point is not whether or not they can be used, but whether or not they can be used economically and profitably. Oh, if that was the point then it's already been decided. Right now, solar PV is not economical or profitable except in niche applications not connected to the grid. Tomorrow... who knows? It does seem to be getting cheaper all the time. This, of course, has nothing to do with the question of "Is the profitable use of solar PV limited to big mega-corporations?" If we go back a couple of articles in this thread... KR Williams wrote: In article , box says... KR Williams wrote: My guess though, is that solar cells for the individual will never become cheaper than power from the grid, since the power company has access to the same technology and a *lot* better financing possibilities. ...and they don't have to have the pay- back in my lifetime. They have access to the tech, BUT, they also have to maintain the distribution system. ... All this is avoided cost on home solar. There is still a huge advantage of scale. Some technologies simply can not be affordably implemented on a small homeowner scale and for them to be used you need a big company or co-op. Solar PV is not in that category. The example of a solar powered radio shows this. It does not require huge resources to build, buy or maintain. The basic idea is that when it comes to solar PV installations there really isn't much advantage of scale. A huge installation will cost only slightly less per watt as a smaller one. Anthony |
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#9
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"Anthony Matonak" wrote in message ... .... I don't know about that. Solar PV can be used in any size from digital watches to powering hotels. Big power companies have to buy the same parts as individuals and would mostly pay similar prices. The large infrastructure to build and maintain them is called "the rest of civilization" for the most part and is accessible for an individual as it is for a big power company. So, first you have to build and support a huge civilization, not stand alone as an individual. Big point that. The power company would buy in really large blocks, install in a single area without pre-existing structures in the way. I would be surprised if their PV installed cost were (assuming they are in this for profit not subsidies) any more than a third what the individual must suffer. Of course a skilled do it yourselfer with time to hunt up bargains might do a lot better, but this has to apply to the whole people, not just the few. .... Oddly enough, many people do live where the sunlight is fairly reliable and a PV system can be small enough to be practical for an individual. The civilization as a whole is just a collection of individuals when you look at it closely enough. I am not saying that an individual cannot spend an arm and a leg, buy a system that is three times the size of an optimized well sited system, overwhelm everything with massive and expensive battery storage, and be perfectly happy with running out of power in the middle of microwaving his hot dogs, but you gotta recognize that overall this process needs to be made as inexpensive as possible or it will make most of us a lot poorer. I am concerned that you are seeing that a PV system can be built, but not what the trade offs of this system imply to our lives. I believe that when PV electricity becomes cheaper than coal/natural gas/uranium, (if it can), then most of us will be buying most of our electricity from huge PV arrays in the southern deserts, not from a little farm outside our town. There will be few who will "roll their own", and some small town back up plants for summer peaks and such, but the bulk power has to be the cheap power and that has to be large and in the right place to make solar power. .... Grid tied systems need close to zero maintenance so I hardly see that as giving constant headaches. Even with a battery system, I've heard about some that only require a checkup every six months or so. Lastly, while PV may be more expensive than grid power, I don't think that a big power company can build solar PV all that much cheaper than anyone else. Grid tie is great for a small system or two. If we get more than 20% from such systems, the grid has to be redesigned to be a storage system of sorts. I overstated what I think is the actual level of difficulty to get you to think about the demand you are making on the ordinary citizen to maintain his private power system. Every few years he has something break down, and he knows nothing about it. The maintenance costs eat his profit for dinner. A tree branch, an ice storm, a battery failure, a lightening bolt, and his system is disconnected from the grid so he can turn his lights on, and we are back to the centralized distributions system. Your last point, that you think a big company can not build PV much cheaper than Joe, and the general implication that the cost to Joe of electricity from his local PV system is competitive with ConEd from the Mohave Desert by way of the grid, needs a lot more quantification I think. As I recall there is around a 3 to 1 difference in the average solar insolation between Seattle and Phoenix, for example. It is pretty hard to make up for that kind of a cost differential, but on top of that you have to add even more storage someplace for all that electricity, since the winter insolation up here is really crappy for months on end. That is one heck of a lot of storage, and to do it locally is generally from hard to impossible. (In Seattle we might be able to find a nearby mountain valley we could turn into a lake for hydrostorage, but a lot of locations are a long ways from any possible storage site). . |
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#10
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Anthony Matonak wrote:
Fred B. McGalliard wrote: "Anthony Matonak" wrote in message I think the main point is that solar PV is a technology that does not require massive infrastructure. It's something that can be done on an individual and distributed basis. The big power companies really don't have that much advantage over individuals. Sorry Anthony, but I think this is quite wrong. Solar PV requires a very large infrastructure to build, and a substantial infrastructure to maintain. I don't know about that. Solar PV can be used in any size from digital watches to powering hotels. [snip] The point is not whether or not they can be used, but whether or not they can be used economically and profitably. |
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