Rules:

1) Predict amount of change in ARS numbers between the IMPLEMENTATION
date of the R&O for elimination of code testing and one year from that
date.
2) Calculation of the number of licenses will be done by N2EY under the
same principals that he uses now to calculate the number of licenses.
3) You must select whole numbers for your percentage.
4) You may select positive or negative percentages.
5) You may select a range but that range may not exceed a total of 4%.
Note that your average will be used to determine who is closest. If the
actual change is outside the range of everyone's guesses then the person
whose limit is closest will be the winner.
6) You must submit your guess no later than six months after the
IMPLEMENTATION date of the R&O.


Anyone else? Note if your guess doesn't show up on the list within a
week, it may mean that my ISP is blocking it or that you are on my blocked
senders list. You may still participate but you will have to have your
guess submitted by someone who is not blocked.

Guesses submitted:

N8UZE: 1% less to 1% more
N2EY: 1% more to 2% more
KH6HZ: 1% less to 0% change
N3KIP: 2% more to 6% more
KH6O: 5% more to 10% more --- Added 12/30/06


Dee, N8UZE

"Dee Flint" wrote in message
. ..
Rules:

1) Predict amount of change in ARS numbers between the IMPLEMENTATION
date of the R&O for elimination of code testing and one year from that
date.
2) Calculation of the number of licenses will be done by N2EY under the
same principals that he uses now to calculate the number of licenses.
3) You must select whole numbers for your percentage.
4) You may select positive or negative percentages.
5) You may select a range but that range may not exceed a total of 4%.
Note that your average will be used to determine who is closest. If the
actual change is outside the range of everyone's guesses then the person
whose limit is closest will be the winner.
6) You must submit your guess no later than six months after the
IMPLEMENTATION date of the R&O.


Anyone else? Note if your guess doesn't show up on the list within a
week, it may mean that my ISP is blocking it or that you are on my
blocked
senders list. You may still participate but you will have to have your
guess submitted by someone who is not blocked.

Guesses submitted:

N8UZE: 1% less to 1% more
N2EY: 1% more to 2% more
KH6HZ: 1% less to 0% change
N3KIP: 2% more to 6% more
KH6O: 5% more to 10% more --- Added 12/30/06


Note: KH6O has been asked to revise his guess as it does not meet the 4% max
range stated above. Your max minus you min cannot exceed 4%.

Dee, N8UZE

"Dee Flint" wrote in message
news
Rules:

1) Predict amount of change in ARS numbers between the IMPLEMENTATION
date of the R&O for elimination of code testing and one year from that date.
2) Calculation of the number of licenses will be done by N2EY under the
same principals that he uses now to calculate the number of licenses.
3) You must select whole numbers for your percentage.
4) You may select positive or negative percentages.
5) You may select a range but that range may not exceed a total of 4%.
Note that your average will be used to determine who is closest. If the
actual change is outside the range of everyone's guesses then the person
whose limit is closest will be the winner.
6) You must submit your guess no later than six months after the
IMPLEMENTATION date of the R&O.

Anyone else? Note if your guess doesn't show up on the list within a
week, it may mean that my ISP is blocking it or that you are on my
blocked senders list. You may still participate but you will have to have
your
guess submitted by someone who is not blocked.

Guesses submitted:

N8UZE: 1% less to 1% more
N2EY: 1% more to 2% more
KH6HZ: 1% less to 0% change
N3KIP: 2% more to 6% more
KH6O: 6% more to 10% more --- Added 12/30/06, changed to per KH6O to
meet guidelines above.

Dee, N8UZE

Dee Flint wrote:
...
Dee, N8UZE



I predict that things are in such a mess, God will have to come before
we see much better.

Regards,
JS

"John Smith I" wrote in message
...
Dee Flint wrote:
...
Dee, N8UZE

I predict that things are in such a mess, God will have to come before we
see much better.

Regards,
JS

But do you wish to submit a guess?

Dee, N8UZE

Dee Flint wrote:
...
But do you wish to submit a guess?

Dee, N8UZE



Guess? No. Logic? Yes.

There will be a lag in new membership, perhaps numbers will begin a slow
growth--perhaps a rapid jump then a slowing off--hard to tell ...

Then, all of a sudden, some magazine, or some group like MENSA will pick
it up, or the college crowd will accept it as "being hip", etc., etc.,
anyway, it will catch on--trendy to be a ham. There will be some new
technology which finally begins to trickle into amateur radio and new
designs in the stagnated equipment; then all of a sudden it will spring
full-blown into "being vogue."

Who knows how, when or where--the important thing is the door now has
been breached. The dead hams fingers have been torn from their death
grips on the hobby. Now, IT CAN HAPPEN!

We all can help, but who can say who will finally be recognized as the
trigger ...

Regards,
JS