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Old March 9th 07, 08:26 AM posted to rec.radio.amateur.policy
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Default Change in ARS numbers Pool

On Mar 7, 9:32�pm, "Dee Flint" wrote:
Now that the first couple of weeks have gone by does anyone else want to add
a guess?

1) *Predict amount of change in ARS numbers between the IMPLEMENTATION
date (2/23/07) of the R&O for elimination of code testing and one year from
that
date (2/23/08).
*2) *Calculation of the number of licenses will be done by N2EY under the
*same principals that he uses now to calculate the number of licenses.
*3) *You must select whole numbers for your percentage.
*4) *You may select positive or negative percentages.
*5) *You may select a range but that range may not exceed a total of 4%.
*Note that your average will be used to determine who is closest. *If the
*actual change is outside the range of everyone's guesses then the person
*whose limit is closest will be the winner.
*6) *You must submit your guess no later than six months after the
*IMPLEMENTATION date of the R&O, which would be 8/23/07.

Anyone else? *Note if your guess doesn't show up on the list within a
*week, it may mean that my ISP is blocking it. *However, I've temporarily
cleared
out my blocked senders list so if anyone has been wanting to put in a guess
and hasn't
been able to, now is the time.

Guesses submitted:
*N8UZE: * * * *1% less to 1% more
*N2EY: * * * * *1% more to 2% more
*KH6HZ: * * * 1% less to 0% change
*N3KIP: * * * *2% more to 6% more
*KH6O: * * * * 6% more to 10% more
*KK6J: * * * *12% more to 14% more
*KC2HMZ: * *5% more
*K8BSG: * * * *2% to 3% more


I say it balances out in a year...Zero percent to less than one
percent either way in a year. (Same as KH6HZ)

73

Steve, K4YZ

 
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