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"Ryan, KC8PMX" wrote in message ... "Larry Roll K3LT" wrote in message ... Now that it seems as though code testing will finally be abolished in the ARS, let's amuse ourselves with a bit of speculation as to what this will mean in terms of future growth in the numbers of licensed amateur radio operators in the United States. What do you think will happen? How much growth do you think will occur, and how fast? We may have an initial inrush of some newbies in the onset, but it will flatten back out to where it is about right now is my prediction. Its from a "marketing" standpoint. The hobby just is not promoted like it should or could be. Once us existing licensee's hit up our friends and family, that is usually it. (kinda sounds a bit like Amway!) Actually the biggest problem is lack of activity by the current hams. If we take the figure of 600,000+ hams and calculate the number of QSOs per day if each one had one QSO per YEAR (assume it takes two hams for a qso), thats 300,000 exchanges per year or nearly 1000 per day. That would keep the bands pretty busy. But instead we hear the same people over and over on the VHF and HF frequencies. We have 150 members or so in our club and I only hear about a dozen on the repeater regularly. It's the same dozen that do VHF simplex and SSB. We need to get those already licensed more involved. Dee D. Flint, N8UZE |