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In article k.net, "Dwight
Stewart" writes: "Ryan, KC8PMX" wrote: So.... basically, one way or another people have to pay for it, be it in higher service/product costs or paying in taxes for a government program. Let me start by saying I don't have all the answers either, Ryan. However, it is fairly easy to see where some of the biggest problems are. The most obvious is corporate profits today. Hold on a sec, Dwight. "Corporate profits" are the basis of any capitalist system. Without 'em, our economy collapses. Product quality is dropping (plastics), In some areas, yes. But people still buy the products! wages are relatively stagnated, product prices certainly haven't dropped much, but corporate profits have went through the roof. How much corporate profit is excessive? If a company is worth $1 billion, and their profit is $100 million, that's a 10% return on investment. Is that excessive? Who decides? Perhaps a mechanism to reel in or put a cap on corporate profits is the answer. How to do that is the ten thousand dollar question (or, in this case, trillion dollar question). But without the details it's a moot point. Suppose a company has a string of bad years and then a good year - should their profits in the good year be confiscated and a blind eye turned towards the bad years? I'm somewhat radical, so I prefer the outright purge method - a cap on product price increases for several years and an immediate increase in overall wages (with caps on immigration or other negative factors effecting workers). Price controls were tried in the late '60s and early '70s to "Whip Infaltion Now". Didn't work in the long term. This will drive some marginal companies out of business (the purge) and will slow down the economy sharply. At the very least. And the political and economic backlash will be overwhelming. But, over a several year period, more streamlined companies will eventually replace those put out of business and the economy will recover. At that point, the cap on product prices can be reduced, letting competition once again drive the market. Except that it may not be the most "streamlined" companies who survive. The second most obvious is the concentration of marketplaces. So, if the above isn't acceptable, perhaps this is the place to look. What I'm talking about here is larger corporations gobbling up whole market segments, driving smaller companies out of business. Lets take an example. Wal-Mart moves into a town offering a wide range of products. Of course, the new store doesn't offer a wide selection in any department, but it does carry the basics in each department - just enough to take away what local businesses call their bread-and-butter products (the products stores depend on to pay employees, rent, and so on). As that happens, local stores are forced to depend on the sale of high end products where sales are far less predictable. The inevitable result is that many smaller stores simply collapse. And this isn't just happening in the retail industry. It is happening in many industries (publishing, news, entertainment, manufacturing, transportation, and so on). Because the *market* (people who make the buying decisions) go to the Wal Mart instead of the local stores. That's where the real problem lies - people who do not think about the long-term economic results of their actions. The next most obvious is credit. In many markets, high prices are supported only by massive credit activity. For example, the automobile market. Prices have climbed sharply mainly because credit is much easier to get, in much higher amounts, than just a few decades ago. Put a regulatory cap on credit in this market and prices have to drop if companies want to sell cars. Do you know this for a fact? Car price increases also reflect the enormous investment in engineering and tooling to build cars using the latest technology. Remember when most cars fell apart before reaching 10 years or 100,000 miles? Of course, the same is true for other markets (home construction, consumer goods, and so on). As long as people are willing to pay the prices, the markets are driven that way. Supply and demand. What about people trying to get started as homeowners? Raising the price of credit makes it impossible for them to buy a first house. Some months back I refinanced the mortgage on this place. Took more than 5 years off the ultimate payback date *and* reduced my monthly payment by a few $$. Was that a good thing or a bad thing for me to do? The biggest danger to this solution is the tendency for companies to pass on any initial losses to consumers (lower quality products) and their own employees. The first will correct itself over time, but the second requires additional labor protections (wage increases, a cap on immigration, and efforts to prevent companies from moving overseas). Import duties. Like I said, I certainly don't have all the answers. Even some of the problems are elusive. However, it is clear that even minor regulatory modifications, not massive government programs, can have a dramatic impact. The idea offered in the first paragraph also has the advantage of keeping product prices down for consumers. The idea in the second paragraph requires more effort, but offers greater returns over a longer period of time. The idea in the third paragraph offers the most benefits, but will have the most negative impact on consumers in the short term. For a truly robust economy, perhaps parts of all three should be considered. But you also have to consider that the companies will find ways around such limitations. If the govt. is going to seize my "excess" profits, I simply won't have any - I'll set up deferred-compensation programs for myself and other bigwigs, buy down debt and buy back stock, do massive capital programs that *reduce* employment, invest in things to carry my company over the lean years to come, etc. The big changes have to come from ordinary folks becoming educated and deciding how to spend their money. It's "voting with your wallet" and it's done every day. 73 de Jim, N2EY |
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