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In article , "Dee D. Flint"
writes: You know Nixon tried wage and price controls and we started developing shortages. Other countries in the world have tried it too and also failed. Every where that has been tried, the standard of living dropped, goods and services became hard to get and unemployment rose. So why try what has already been proven to fail. As I recall it, wage and price controls caused some shortages because certain costs could not be controlled. For example, the wellhead price of natural gas was regulated but the cost of drilling wasn't, so a lot of folks either stopped drilling altogether, or, when they were drilling for oil but hit only gas, they'd cap the well and take the loss in one lump rather than put the well into production and lose money on every cubic foot of gas produced. Please show that profits are obscene. Don't quote dollars, quote percentage of operating expenses. If expenses are say 100 trillion, then a profit of 1 trillion (1%) is so dangerously low that the company is on the verge of going bankrupt. Any company only making a 1% profit has difficulty getting investors, difficulty in getting expansion capital, and has no safety margin to ride out an economic downturn. On the other hand, let's take another case. If a small business has operating expenses of $100 and makes a profit of $1000 then that is an obscene profit since it is 10 times the operating expense. So you see just quoting a dollar figure doesn't tell the whole story. It's actually even more complex than that. Operating expenses are only one metric - there's also return on investment, market volatility, stock prices, regulatory controls, and a bunch of other factors. For example, suppose a business with a total investment of $1 million has $10 million in operating expenses and $100,000 in profits. Profit is 1% of operating expenses but 10% of investment - is this company on rocky ground or not? If the operating expenses are fairly fixed, even a small drop in sales will put the company in the red. But if the operating expenses rise and fall in sync with sales, the company may be in a very solid position, profit wise. There are all sorts of other examples. Some industries are so cyclic that they *need* high profits in good times to carry them through losses in bad times. [snip] However, it is clear that even minor regulatory modifications, not massive government programs, can have a dramatic impact. The idea offered in the first paragraph also has the advantage of keeping product prices down for consumers. The idea in the second paragraph requires more effort, but offers greater returns over a longer period of time. The idea in the third paragraph offers the most benefits, but will have the most negative impact on consumers in the short term. For a truly robust economy, perhaps parts of all three should be considered. However, history has proven that it is not possible to predict the results of these "minor" regulatory actions. At this point in time no one is knowledgeable enough to do so and it's better to let the system react to the free market principles. "Law of Unexpected Consequences" Look at the auto industry. Fuel prices were kept artificially low until the 1973 embargo, when they became artificially high, and the fuel itself became scarce. Because the market had become used to a semingly inexhaustible supply of cheap fuel, the US auto industry did not develop fuel-efficient cars, and transportation alternatives like transit died off (or were actively killed to get rid of the competition to the private auto). This shortsightedness set the stage for massive inroads in the US market by foreign carmakers who *had* developed fuel-efficient cars. In addition, you have left out the most workable option. That is to work toward a world economy that enjoys a comparable standard to ours. Once that occurs, industry will find it more economical to produce more locally to trim shipping costs. Once it becomes equally costly to make a car in Japan as in the US for example, then the lower shipping cost means it's better to serve the US market with cars made in the US. In the case of cars, this has already happened in some cases. Many Japanese companies (Honda, Subaru, Toyota, to name just a few) make cars in the USA because it's cheaper! VW started that trend way back in the '70s by buying the Westmoreland, PA facility from Chrysler, and building Rabbits, Golfs and Jettas here instead of Germany. VW later sold that plant to Sony, who uses it to make CRTs (because it's cheaper to make them here!) The main drawback is the fact that it will take a very long time before the world standard of living matches ours. So what do we do until then? 73 de Jim, N2EY |
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