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In article , Mike Coslo
writes: The reality of things economic is that, like it or not, we are in a global economy and that isn't going to change. That's true to a point. But we don't have to simply accept everything that comes down the pike as inevitable. It will probably stabilize when one of the programmers from India writes a good program to replace CEO's! ;^) 'zactly. The drastic reduction in costs of shipping (both importing and exporting goods) as well as similar reductions for communications makes it cheaper to manufacture and even provide certain service functions off-shore. That isn't going to change in the short run. Only if it doesn't affect buyer behavior. If buyers protest with their dollars, things will change. In the long run, those currently cheap off shore labor markets will self adjust upwards. Maybe. And if so, might they not find themselves in the same boat? Correct! I have alway though that the best argument for what is going on is the elevation of a population's living standard. A country has a low standard of living, and the workforce is available for next to nothing, wage wise. So like Pizza take-out's in a college town, everyone ant their brother migrate there for the cheap labor. AS the standard of living goes up, the cheap labor starts to demand more in salary and/or benefits. This works for a while, but eventually another poor country looks attractive to employers. So they move on to the next poor country. The trick is to do that without creating more poor countries. And the fundamental question is: Why are countries poor in the first place, and how do countries get rich and stay rich without exploiting other countries? Examples are what has happened to Japan. Korea is the present hot spot, but is slowing. China is ascendant now, but the inevitible will happen there. Mexico is now experiencing import concerns too. Remember NAFTA and the "giant sucking sound"? Where's Ross now? What happens when the cycle is complete, and the last third world nation is brought up to modern standards will be the interesting thing. First you have to understand why it hasn't happened yet. In the short run, US labor has their head in the sand if they think there's something either party (Dems or Reps) can really do to stem the shift of manufacturing jobs overseas. The same thing is going on in Europe. OTOH, unemployed workers can't buy the goods anyway. So what good are lower prices? You see, the big trick is to have all this happen without ourselves turning into a third world country. See below. And that trick is? In the long run, employees must be constantly reevaluating their job skills and looking at the prospect of how vulnerable their job may be as to their job being farmed out to off shore labor. That's true up to a point. But how often is it reasonable to expect a person to retrain? And what happens to "the wealth of nations" in the meantime? I don't know of any country that grew prosperous on a service economy alone. Countries that are service based economies are the *servants* of other countries. We can "reality" each other all day long, but if economies chase the almighty profit without any moral guidance - that is if they are not in business for the sole purpose of making a buck, then disaster is the result. Actually I think it's simpler than that. They have to consider both the short-term buck and the long-term buck. Henry Ford was criticized by other industrialists because he paid workers the princely sum of $5 per day. His response was that it did not make sense to him to have people building a product they could not afford to buy. He traded off the short-term buck of higher wages for the long-term buck of a bigger market. I don't think he did this out of any love for the workers or the country, but rather because he saw a bigger picture. 73 de Jim, N2EY |