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#2
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On Fri, 2 Jul 2004 21:31:54 UTC, Doug wrote:
On 1 Jul 2004 06:42:36 -0700, (N2EY) wrote: Wayne was and is full of it. Even if that isn't a factor, the weird, useless stuff that people collect, pottery, knick-knacks, wood furniture, carvings, Hummels, and so on, if an HT-32B appreciates as much as that stuff, it would be worth tens of thousands of dollars. But it won't because the market for an HT-32B is far smaller. I think most "collectors" only collect what the appraisers and antique sales people tell them to collect. Watch a few episodes of the antique shows on PBS. That junque is genuinely weird. Compare it to a fine HQ-150 or a Johnson Valiant. Wayne Green has gotten too much credit - mainly from his own self promotion. Incentive licensing hardly killed off Amatuer radio or the manufactorers of the time. In the early 1960's, Wayne predicted that there would be lots of Japanese hams. When I got on 15 meters as a novice. I was running a DX-60 with one 15 meter novice crystal and a ZL-special. I used to work pile ups of JA stations all running 10 watts or some other strangely low power. It suggested to me that they had an entry license, perhaps comparable to our Novice that gave them 10 or maybe it was 15 watts of CW. I figured that Wayne was right and that the same "hook" that got me fiddling with antennas, peering into the chassis of my SX-101A trying to get a little more ooomph out of it, got them too. I ended up an assembly language and PL/I programmer doing MVS internals, telecommunications using TCAM, TSO internals. Later when Japanese electronics took over, I figured that the same fellows who I worked on 15 meters were now electrical engineers. That was what Wayne predicted in his rambling editorials in 73 magazine. |
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#3
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"No Spam " No wrote in message ...
On Fri, 2 Jul 2004 21:31:54 UTC, Doug wrote: On 1 Jul 2004 06:42:36 -0700, (N2EY) wrote: Wayne was and is full of it. Even if that isn't a factor, the weird, useless stuff that people collect, pottery, knick-knacks, wood furniture, carvings, Hummels, and so on, if an HT-32B appreciates as much as that stuff, it would be worth tens of thousands of dollars. But it won't because the market for an HT-32B is far smaller. I think most "collectors" only collect what the appraisers and antique sales people tell them to collect. That's true in some cases, not true in others. But it's certainly a valid point that at least *some* collectors are more interested in the fact that something is worth $X or is considered "rare", rather than its intrinsic value. IOW, would they still like it if it was worth almost nothing? Watch a few episodes of the antique shows on PBS. That junque is genuinely weird. I love that show. Besides the *smokin'* new host, the incredible prices attached to some things are always a source of amazement. I mean - a table lamp made in 1906 that's worth $120,000? A small table from the early 19th century worth almost $500,000? Compare it to a fine HQ-150 or a Johnson Valiant. One *big* difference is that we'd get the HQ-150 or Valiant and put them on the air, not just look at them. In fact, I find it's starting to work the other way with me. One thing I used to love about BA'ing was getting some rig or other for a low low price, fixing it up, putting it on the air, having a ball with it and then eventually passing it on to somebody else. And if I blew something up, or couldn't fix it, no big loss. But when they are fetching prices higher than new, it's a whole new ball game. Wayne Green has gotten too much credit - mainly from his own self promotion. Incentive licensing hardly killed off Amatuer radio or the manufactorers of the time. In the early 1960's, Wayne predicted that there would be lots of Japanese hams. There already *were* lots of JA hams back then. When I got on 15 meters as a novice. I was running a DX-60 with one 15 meter novice crystal and a ZL-special. I used to work pile ups of JA stations all running 10 watts or some other strangely low power. It suggested to me that they had an entry license, perhaps comparable to our Novice that gave them 10 or maybe it was 15 watts of CW. They've had four classes of license for years, with the entry class having no code test. Entry class is QRP but allows a variety of HF modes. They used a twisted interpretation of the treaty to do it. In years gone by, many countries required more than passing tests for a license upgrade. In some cases, construction of receivers and/or transmitters of a given level of complexity was required, and an oral examination given on how the set worked. Another element was requirement of a certain number of stations heard/worked with the constructed equipment. The old USSR was a big one for that sort of thing. JA may have done it, too. I figured that Wayne was right and that the same "hook" that got me fiddling with antennas, peering into the chassis of my SX-101A trying to get a little more ooomph out of it, got them too. The trend was clear early on. Building up the nation's technical and manufacturing base was a national priority in Japan from VJ day forward. Interesting thing about 'prophets' like W2NSD - people remember the few times when they were right but forget the many many times when they were not. I ended up an assembly language and PL/I programmer doing MVS internals, telecommunications using TCAM, TSO internals. Later when Japanese electronics took over, I figured that the same fellows who I worked on 15 meters were now electrical engineers. That was what Wayne predicted in his rambling editorials in 73 magazine. Maybe. Ham radio has led many of us to engineering careers, me included. But consider this: Since 1995 the number of Japanese ham stations has been in free fall. Google up AH0A's website - interesting numbers. Don't be fooled by the enormous number of JA *operator* licenses - their operator licenses never expire, so what you see under operator license totals are the total number of hams that have been licensed in Japan since 1952. One ham can have as many as four operator licenses. The important number is the number of *station* licenses, which cost a fee and have to be renewed each year. 73 de Jim, N2EY |
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N2EY ) writes:
I figured that Wayne was right and that the same "hook" that got me fiddling with antennas, peering into the chassis of my SX-101A trying to get a little more ooomph out of it, got them too. The trend was clear early on. Building up the nation's technical and manufacturing base was a national priority in Japan from VJ day forward. Interesting thing about 'prophets' like W2NSD - people remember the few times when they were right but forget the many many times when they were not. And he's had more time after the fact to write about it than he did to talk about it before incentive licensing came into being. While it's been some time since I've gone through them, I read and reread back issues of 73. I don't recall any mention of Japan in the sixties. Indeed, Japan seemed to be a non-entity at the time. They were starting to make inroads, likely a lot of the accessories were increasingly "made in Japan", but as you already mentioned, they were often sold with a US name on it. "Made in Japan" still seemed to be a fairly derogative term, denoting sloppy design and/or workmanship. But then when Japanese companies were the major players, say from the mid to late seventies, of course Wayne wrote about Japan. Saying after the fact that the Japanese rules made for such growth, in hams and their ham industry, is a lot different from seeing it (or not seeing it) before it had happened. The same can be said about incentive licensing. I have no doubt that Wayne disliked incentive licensing, but I'm not so sure he foresaw what would happen. I don't think he cared. He didn't want to lose frequencies, and that was his main opposition. But after the fact, he could find all kinds of things that happened, whether or not they were a result, and blame them on incentive licensing, and of course say "I told you so". I don't have the animosity towards Wayne that many seem to have. I liked 73 when it was in its prime, and that was a serious contribition to amateur radio. But you can indeed see his "after the fact" predictions. He often stretches things to fit his scenario. One really has to go back and read his editorials from the sixties in order to define how much of he foresaw, and what it was he foresaw. His later editorials are much more vivid (and were repeated many times), but that does not mean they were what he said in the sixties. Michael VE2BVW |
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#6
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No Spam No wrote:
Recently, I've heard two stories from that era, one is that at the end of the war, they stacked up KWM-2's and R-390As, and ran tanks over them. I _SAW_ the folks at the Osan AB MARS shack tossing R-390s or R-390As into a dumpster in October 1969, when I was outprocessing at the end of a TDY. They told me I could have as many as I wanted, but my hold baggage was on its way back to Camp Drake already. The other story is that there are cache's in Vietnam with KWM-2s wrapped in plastic and buried. A friend was in charge of the Army program to teach ARVN troops to operate KWM-2 rigs; I'll ask him what he knows about that. I don't know if either story is true. They're both consonant with what I saw. I have a nice collection of boat anchors and hope to restore them to their glory, to be used, not to sit on the shelf, as "shelf queens". I'm trying to get a collection of R-390As going again. It's ... interesting. I don't have a lot of time to work on the radios. I'm trying to earn enough money to retire some time. BTDTGTTS. Didn't like it; I'm back where I retired, because I don't like sitting still. I got my novice license at 15 and passed the general at 16. Two other guys and I took the bus down the the FCC because none of us had a driver's license. We all passed. I still remember the snippits of the code, it was a ship talking to the harbor. One minute solid out of five, 13 consecutive words. That was the rule. I don't get this new style exam. Second Phone at 16, Novice at 17. -- Mike Andrews Tired old sysadmin |
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#7
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#8
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"No Spam " No wrote in message news:ifgU75G3LLdo-pn2-9xjQwCynTYJD@localhost...
On Wed, 7 Jul 2004 20:35:05 UTC, (Michael Black) wrote: When did Incentive Licensing take effect? 1967: Advanced reopened, 2 year Novice Nov. 22, 1968: First reduction in bandspace (CW/data and 'phone) for Generals and Advanceds Nov. 22, 1969: Second reduction in bandspace (phone only)for Generals and Advanceds. Note that in those days the 30, 17 and 12 meter ham bands did not exist, and that the 'phone parts of 80, 40, 20 and 15 were narrower than today. Originally the Extra-only CW/data subbands were supposed to be 50 kHz in the second reduction but this was eliminated by FCC shortly before it was supposed to have taken effect. I thought I took the advanced about 1965 but maybe not. Maybe it was later. 1967 wasn't that much later. I "thought" Wayne Green in the early 60's predictied the collapse of the U.S. electronics industry, which was invincible at that time. Given the outcome, and not to take anything away from Ten Tec and Elecraft, Drake if they're still in business, but the U.S. Electronics industry, at least in the HF RF side, has died off. Consumer stuff anyway. I was in high school in the early 1960's. While the Japanese made a few small in-roads in consumer electronics, the U.S. owned Ham Radio. The U.S. stuff was QUALITY. I still remember the excitement of the HRO-500, the SBE-33, and seeing the pictures of the FPM-200 in the magazines. Yep - but in reality they were not as good as expected. The FPM-200 never made it to market, IIRC. The proprietor of the local radio shop said that the S-Lines and KWM-2s were going to Vietnam so a lot of guys were going for Drake, "the DX-er's like Drake." Recently, I've heard two stories from that era, one is that at the end of the war, they stacked up KWM-2's and R-390As, and ran tanks over them. The other story is that there are cache's in Vietnam with KWM-2s wrapped in plastic and buried. I don't know if either story is true. I don't either but I know the following story *is* true: Pallets of used R-390As were stacked ~10 feet high and left out in the weather at a supply location. I saw the picture and it was claimed to be genuine. These were units that needed work but were mostly complete. The stack was at least 25 x 25 feet, and the picture didn't include the whole pile. Even as parts units, their value to hams is staggering. Dunno if there were any Helena Rubenstein '390As in there.... I got my novice license at 15 and passed the general at 16. Two other guys and I took the bus down the the FCC because none of us had a driver's license. We all passed. I still remember the snippits of the code, it was a ship talking to the harbor. One minute solid out of five, 13 consecutive words. That was the rule. I don't get this new style exam. I got the Novice at 13 (1967), Tech and Advanced at 14 (1968), Extra at 16 (1970). That was back when you had to wait two years as a General or above for the Extra. Someone help me remember. Didn't the FCC give out Techs as a consolation prize if you only got five words in sequence? Yes. After 1954 the Tech was a by-mail license, like the Novice. But if you showed up at the FCC office and missed 13 per, but they could find five legible words, you could do the Tech/General written and get a Technician. Then you'd only have to come back for the 13 wpm code. Saved a little FCC time and paperwork, I think. Also made it easier for the ham because you could focus entirely on the code test. I know 'cause that's what happened to me first time. Examiner couldn't read my writing well enough to find 65 consecutive legible characters but he did find 25. I got a Tech, went home and taught myself to block print rather than the stupid "Palmer method" longhand script, and passed it after the 30 day retest wait was up. After I did, the examiner said "Kid, why not try the Advanced while you're here?" Though I had not studied for it, a 14 year old kid did not say no to The Man, so I tried and passed. Or was it, if you failed the 13, they gave you a shot at a 5 WPM tape and then let you take the general written. Or did people show up and ask to take the Tech? Normally Tech was by-mail. Good times. 73 de Jim, N2EY |
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#9
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#10
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Doug wrote in message . ..
On 1 Jul 2004 06:42:36 -0700, (N2EY) wrote: "No Spam " No wrote in message news:ifgU75G3LLdo-pn2-6dc5RepOHFeN@localhost... On Wed, 30 Jun 2004 16:31:34 UTC, (Michael Black) wrote: (big snip) Thanks Jim, Your response was well written. Thanks! Here's two more factors: Sometime in the very early 1960s, SSB became the dominant HF 'phone mode, replacing AM. The trend had started in the very late 1940s with ham SSB homebrewing became common and just kept going. One factor that really sparked the SSB boom was the introduction of the SSB transceiver, starting with the Collins KWM-1 and KWM-2, and the Cosmophone 35. These were "stations in a box" that needed only antenna, power supply, mike and speaker to go on the air. Their cost and size was less than a comparable transmitter-receiver pair, and the headache of zerobeating was eliminated - just tune in the other guy right, and you are automatically on his freq. HF SSB transceivers became popular very quickly, to the point that they rapidly replaced all "separates" except those that were matched-pair transceive capable, like the Drake 4 line and the S line. Before transceivers, there were several ham mfrs. who specialized in receivers or transmitters, or were best known for one or the other. E.F. Johnson made transmitters, National, Hammarlund and Hallicrafters primarily made receivers, etc. Those who made the transition to transceivers survived longer than those who didn't. Johnson, for example, developed the Avenger transceiver, which was way ahead of its time. Dual VFOs, all solid state except the finals and driver, compact, high performance - and it cost more to make than the list price of a KWM-2. A dozen or so prototypes were made, and a few survive. The main market for "separates" were Novices, who were limited to crystal control and 75W input until the mid 1970s. Some new mfrs. like Swan and SBE, started out making SSB transceivers from Day One. The shift to SSB and transceivers from AM and separates had a bunch of effects: - Homebrewing, steadily declining with increasing affluence and complexity of ham gear, took a big nosedive with the advent of the SSB transceiver. Few hams could homebrew the equivalent of an NCX-3 or SB-100 in their basements for less than the cost of those rigs, let alone the time. - The space and cost required for a ham shack shrank dramatically. This was particularly true if you wanted to operate high power 'phone. Look at the price and size of an SB-100/200 combo - for about $600 and the kitbuilding time you could have a 1200W PEP tabletop SSB/CW station. Compare that to, say, a Viking 500/NC-300 combo... - Old gear that could not do SSB transceive was sometimes kept, and other times rapidly unloaded as its resale value dropped. The value drop was driven by the limited market for such gear. - The number of new hams recruited from the SWL ranks dropped dramatically. In the AM days, folks with SW receivers would come across hams on AM. This would lead many SWLs to become hams. But most SWL receivers don't receive SSB well, if at all, and completely different tuning skills are needed. So most SWLs just tuned past the unintelligible ham SSB garble. This last was part of a much larger trend. From the reopening of US ham radio to about 1963, the number of US hams grew from about 60,000 on VJ day to about 250,000 in 1963 - quadrupling in just 17 years. Then the growth stalled and didn't pick up again until the early 1970s. This loss of growth happened fully 5 years before "incentive licensing", and it was only after the new rules were in place that the numbers picked up again, so IL can't be the cause. What *did* cause it we - changeover to SSB - competition from 27 MHz cb - drastic reduction of the places where a Conditional license could be issued - license and test fees - changes in society, particularly young people. Ham radio has always been kind of a "square" activity, and in the '60s such perceptions "turned off" a lot of young people. Wayne Green has gotten too much credit - mainly from his own self promotion. The rooster taking credit for the dawn. JA has had nocodetest ham licenses since 1952. They were on a rebuilding/industrial boom. They were investing in development and new tooling at a furious rate while US companies weren't. Favorable tax and exchange rates. Etc. Incentive licensing hardly killed off Amatuer radio or the manufactorers of the time. Agreed. Increased competition from the Japanese probably was the largest factor in the die off of the old American companies. Yep. I've got a Swan/Cubic Astro-150A. It's totally synthesized, solid state using military construction, with plug in pcb's, full QSK, built in CW filter, etc, etc. Its design date from around 1978. Yet, they were only able to sell less than 1000 of them. Why? It cost $999 at a time when the Yaesu FT101 listed at only $699. And a TS-520S was even less IIRC. In my opinion, the Astro-150 is a much better rig, but at the time Amateurs voted with their wallets. When the Drake TR7 was introduced, it was a $1400 rig that didn't include things like a speech processor or standard noise blanker when equivalent rigs from the Japanese makers were available for less than $1000. There's also the "line" aspect. Most US manufacturers of the time made just one "line" of ham gear - Drake had the 4 line, Collins had the S-line, Heath had the SB line, etc. Many did not offer VHF/UHF gear, or the offerings were limited. But very early on the Japanese produced multiple lines, such as the TS-520S and TS-820S, and a whole line of VHF/UHF stuff. A ham could have an "all-Kenwood" (or Yaesu, or Icom) station that covered 160 through 440. Few US manufacturers offered such variety. The story of ham radio makes is no different than the story of U.S. TV makers. There are no TV's being made in the USA by companies that are based in the USA. Likewise, no VCR's, no CD players etc, etc are being made by USA owned companies. Sadly true. At least in ham gear we have a choice: Ten Tec and Elecraft, to name just two. 73 de Jim, N2EY |
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