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#41
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Eduardo - don't let the door hit you in the ass on the way out!
David Eduardo wrote:
"D Peter Maus" wrote in message ... David Eduardo wrote: Most of the debate has to do with politics and the status quo. Politicians, who would have to initiate a change, do not want one as they are going to be concerned about redistriting and changes in Federal funds. The debate has very little to do with accuracy and a lot to do with insuring reelection. On BOTH sides. Exactly! And it has very little to do with statistics, margins of error and sample frames, none of which the average politician is likely to understand. Yeah, the ability to poll did not really exist when that part of the constitution was written... and a census was simpler with a population that had limited mobility and lower population densities. Not exactly the point I was trying to make, no. Yes, but that is the reason we have the obligation to do a census... it was the only thing available. You can't do a head count more accurately by statistical sampling than you can by counting heads. One has a margin of error, one does not. And that's the point. Whether or not the ability to manipulate numbers was advanced enough at the time of the Constitution is not the point. The point is, you can't get more accurate than a direct count. But there is no way to do an accurate census in the US today. It's a 6 month process with follow up. In that time, a huge percentage of Americans move, people become homeless, people become ex-pats and live abroad (which, by the way, is an area filled with error... nobody really knows how many Americans live abroad) and so on. A poll can project bases on small samples, done quickly, and be far more accurate than a census. No, I don't believe that for a second. And even my statistics professors, back then, or today, believe that's possible. A good estimation, perhaps. But more accurate than a head count. Highly debatable. As we appear to have proven today Now, whether or not the count is actually taking place...that would be a good discussion left for a time when the beer flows freely and neither of us is sober enough to do any damage. I can imagine that. Probably more fun than this discussion, too. ;-) LOL! Apparently. And you do understand that the Cenus is not without considerable error. Our society is just too complex to count without embedding a chip in everyone (just kidding, of course). That's not a thought that's originated with you. You may be joking. There are those who are discussing that point far more seriously. The programming is the mixing of the songs. The frequency of play is in proportion to popularity. There really is no other way. The music itself is picked by the listeners. the way it is blended together is the programming function. Yes, I believe I just said that. Or am I in a different room. LOL! David, there are times I believe you're on a different planet. But that does not change the implementation based purely on test score as texturizing an hour does not change songs, just their position in the hour next to other songs for a better blend. But that's the definition of "Programming." And its something the listeners do not do. In the sense that listeners are involved, yes, you're point is valid. But the statement is incomplete. I don't think so. As long as play is in proportion to popularity (which is the entire purpose of a test... to tell how much each song is wanted), it is totally responsive to the listeners' picks. The programmer decides how the songs should flow together... Exactly my point. But doing that is a question of moving songs by a few positions in an hour, not changing the rotation. Rotations change not a wit by massaging each hour a bit for the best flow from song to song. All that is is flipping position on a few songs, not discarding them. But moving the songs positions in the hour is part of the programming process. Something the listeners do not do. And determining rotations are also something the listeners do not to. They may pick the songs, and they may help in determining rank, but rotation, category...that's not what they do, that's what YOU do. And that's the programming. They help pick the songs. YOU do the programming. The only possible area of "incompleteness " would be sample size. But testing has shown that doubling or tripling has not effect on the results. Going any further would be beyond the economics of radio, so it is not really incomplete but, rather, impossible. Wow. You're amazing. You've debated every point that wasn't at issue, here. Are you SURE you're not Michael Bryant? I don't think so... We may have to move to the DNA to verify that. To review....the point I was trying to make, which apparently got lost in a lot more things than I had intended to say.... Your original statement was that you don't program the music, the listeners program the music. My rebuttal, which need not be repeated here in it's detail for the fifth time, is that, Your listeners DON"T program the music. But that rather a sample of your listeners have influence in the songs you play. But the Programming of the Music, is still based on decisions of PD's and Consultants. But it isn't. The music plays in exact proportion to how much it is liked. There are no changes made there... Again, they may pick the songs. They may even rank them, but categories, mix, rotations...that's all PROGRAMMING, and they do not do that. YOU do. Or for those in Rio Linda....a group of your listeners pick songs, YOU PROGRAM the music based on them. No, we shcedule the music in strict adherence with the amount they like the songs. Programming is the glue that sticks them together. Programming in it's catholic sense, yes. Music, imaging/stationality, jocks, jingles...But programming of the music alone is the matter under discussion. And YOU do that based on what you get from your sample. Damn, David... I love you like a brother, but ****....sometimes, you're such a Consultant. Thanks for the first part... and the second part is not an insult. There are many good consultants... LOL! NOW you want a fight. |
#42
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Eduardo - don't let the door hit you in the ass on the way out!
dxAce wrote:
D Peter Maus wrote: David Eduardo wrote: "D Peter Maus" wrote in message ... A sample. A sample, well designed. Represents a stations entire listenership. My statement stands. A sample influences your decisions. How the sample is designed and how it represents are decisions based on assumptions accepted by statistical science. Statistics _is_ a science, and it accepts the fact that there is always a margin of error in polling, The degree of error that is acceptable depends on the use that will be made of the information. The data obtained is, itself, accurate withing the margin of error. Radio ad sales is tolerant of a degree of error, as there are more important variables involved in advertising than just the the margin of error of a survey sample. Assumptions that cannot be proven, nor demonstrated to be true in any given instance. Actually, if you look at margin of error, a properly designed poll... whether for music to play or audience size, can be pretty much proven by replication procedures. The differentiation between statistical analysis and census. One is a scientific extrapolation. The other is a headcount. One CAN result in the same outcome as the other, within defined limits of acceptability. But they are not the same. And can in significantly divergant results. If there is divergence, it is due to not doing the poll correctly. In this case, it is quality control. It's just like making a car... faults per 1000 vehicles, etc. So, reiterating, music is not programmed by your listeners, it's selection is influenced by a sample. But the decisions are made by consultants and PD's. Since replication can verify using a sample to determine the acceptability of songs, then the issue is implementation... a separate matter. Neither PDs nor consultants change test results. It is almost plug and play once you have the results. Selling the process to your listeners: "Music is programmed by the listners." I did a little experiment... in Argentina, we did a 100 person music test. We also did the test on the air, and ran the test form in a large newspaper (circulation 1.1 million) We got 40,000 forms back. The test matched the newspaper results. Then we pulled 100 test forms at random from the 40,000. The results were also the same. Critical analysis asserts that cannot be the case. Any effort I have seen (some done on purpose) to disprove a music test results when the test itself follows standard techniques has failed. That's because the axiomatic assumptions are the same in each case. The statistical science is the same. Of course the results are going to be the same David, we're not arguing the test. Nor the science. But the PD/Marketing claim that the music is programmed by the listeners. It's not. It's programmed by the PD's and Consultants based on the results of a sample of listeners. The two statements are not the same. Your statement implies a sample of 100%. Which is not the case. As I said, the results may be, give or take, about the same. But they are not the same. Anymore than a statistical extrapolation is the same as a census. One of the reasons you take as much **** here as you do, is because of statements that sound more like marketing than discussion. Which is precisely why he's worn out his welcome everywhere he goes. He knows that, I know that, but his defence mechanism will never, ever, allow him to admit it. It's a mental illness. May be. But it's an illness that's required for to be in upper Manglement at Radio, today. |
#43
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Eduardo - don't let the door hit you in the ass on the way out !
In article
, D Peter Maus wrote: David Eduardo wrote: "D Peter Maus" wrote in message ... A sample. A sample, well designed. Represents a stations entire listenership. My statement stands. A sample influences your decisions. How the sample is designed and how it represents are decisions based on assumptions accepted by statistical science. Statistics _is_ a science, and it accepts the fact that there is always a margin of error in polling, The degree of error that is acceptable depends on the use that will be made of the information. The data obtained is, itself, accurate withing the margin of error. Radio ad sales is tolerant of a degree of error, as there are more important variables involved in advertising than just the the margin of error of a survey sample. Assumptions that cannot be proven, nor demonstrated to be true in any given instance. Actually, if you look at margin of error, a properly designed poll... whether for music to play or audience size, can be pretty much proven by replication procedures. The differentiation between statistical analysis and census. One is a scientific extrapolation. The other is a headcount. One CAN result in the same outcome as the other, within defined limits of acceptability. But they are not the same. And can in significantly divergant results. If there is divergence, it is due to not doing the poll correctly. In this case, it is quality control. It's just like making a car... faults per 1000 vehicles, etc. So, reiterating, music is not programmed by your listeners, it's selection is influenced by a sample. But the decisions are made by consultants and PD's. Since replication can verify using a sample to determine the acceptability of songs, then the issue is implementation... a separate matter. Neither PDs nor consultants change test results. It is almost plug and play once you have the results. Selling the process to your listeners: "Music is programmed by the listners." I did a little experiment... in Argentina, we did a 100 person music test. We also did the test on the air, and ran the test form in a large newspaper (circulation 1.1 million) We got 40,000 forms back. The test matched the newspaper results. Then we pulled 100 test forms at random from the 40,000. The results were also the same. Critical analysis asserts that cannot be the case. Any effort I have seen (some done on purpose) to disprove a music test results when the test itself follows standard techniques has failed. That's because the axiomatic assumptions are the same in each case. The statistical science is the same. Of course the results are going to be the same David, we're not arguing the test. Nor the science. But the PD/Marketing claim that the music is programmed by the listeners. It's not. It's programmed by the PD's and Consultants based on the results of a sample of listeners. The two statements are not the same. Your statement implies a sample of 100%. Which is not the case. As I said, the results may be, give or take, about the same. But they are not the same. Anymore than a statistical extrapolation is the same as a census. One of the reasons you take as much **** here as you do, is because of statements that sound more like marketing than discussion. The reason is he is full of crap. If he were right his statements would stand on their own. No evidence to the contrary changes a thing with this guy. David is a waste of time. Don't make the mistake I did engaging him. -- Telamon Ventura, California |
#44
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Eduardo - don't let the door hit you in the ass on the way out !
"Telamon" wrote in message ... In article , D Peter Maus wrote: One of the reasons you take as much **** here as you do, is because of statements that sound more like marketing than discussion. The reason is he is full of crap. If he were right his statements would stand on their own. No evidence to the contrary changes a thing with this guy. David is a waste of time. Don't make the mistake I did engaging him. Of course, this does not explain, as has been mentioned, that following what I describe is what has made the successful programmers in radio. And, considering that the company I am with is the only one to get, not once, but twice, the Lehman Bros "A" rating for ratings success in the third and fourth quarters of 2006, we must be doing something right, programming-wise. |
#45
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Eduardo - don't let the door hit you in the ass on the way out !
In article ,
"David Eduardo" wrote: Of course, this does not explain, as has been mentioned, that following what I describe is what has made the successful programmers in radio. And, considering that the company I am with is the only one to get, not once, but twice, the Lehman Bros "A" rating for ratings success in the third and fourth quarters of 2006, we must be doing something right, programming-wise. From my reading of this group, you are doing fine defending yourself against the luddite nut cases here. These are probably the same people who complained about FM, FM stereo, Color TV, Stereo TV, CDs/digital audio and HD TV. You know, the morons who think that technology and progress stopped with AM radio in the 1920s. HD radio is here to stay. Mike |
#46
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dxAss- don't let the door hit you in the nose on the way out!
Mike wrote:
In article , "David Eduardo" wrote: Of course, this does not explain, as has been mentioned, that following what I describe is what has made the successful programmers in radio. And, considering that the company I am with is the only one to get, not once, but twice, the Lehman Bros "A" rating for ratings success in the third and fourth quarters of 2006, we must be doing something right, programming-wise. From my reading of this group, you are doing fine defending yourself against the luddite nut cases here. These are probably the same people who complained about FM, FM stereo, Color TV, Stereo TV, CDs/digital audio and HD TV. You know, the morons who think that technology and progress stopped with AM radio in the 1920s. HD radio is here to stay. Mike The fact that he's been rather reserved in his responses hasn't failed to impress. Not even the foul mouthed cretins who regularly resort to obscene name calling have managed to get him to sink to their level. I may not like what he is saying, but compared to those who attack him, he's generally been rather gentlemanly. It may be just a coincidence, but most, if not all, of those attacking him also seem to be supporters of the war on Iraq. mike |
#47
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Eduardo - don't let the door hit you in the ass on the way out !
wrote in message ps.com... On Mar 27, 11:14?pm, "David Eduardo" wrote: "D Peter Maus" wrote in ... David Eduardo wrote: "dxAce" wrote in message ... As I said, fortunate. But for the listeners... ... who'd probably rebel if they knew their music was being programmed by a 60+ has-been. The listeners program the music, not the program directors. No, a sample of the listeners influence music programming decisions. But the decisions are made by Consultants and Program Directors. Not really. Generally, a very large assortment of music is scored by listeners, and the programmers simply implement the data based on ranking. The only decisions are on rotations, based on how high the songs scores... but the individual songs are listener selected. Right now I am watching a test for a CHR that plays about 120 songs, but we are checking over 600 tunes against our heavier listeners.- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - You get caught in one lie after another ! No lie there... just difference of opinion. |
#48
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dxAss- don't let the door hit you in the nose on the way out !
m II wrotf:
The fact that he's been rather reserved in his responses hasn't failed to impress. Not even the foul mouthed cretins who regularly resort to obscene name calling have managed to get him to sink to their level. I may not like what he is saying, but compared to those who attack him, he's generally been rather gentlemanly. It may be just a coincidence, but most, if not all, of those attacking him also seem to be supporters of the war on Iraq. mike I have also complimented D.E. on his implacablility in the face of the ignorant taunts. Your point about the war is interesting. David's take on broadcasting as a business is coherent and acurately describes what happens to any industry with the application of conservative, laissez-faire economic principals. The noisy noodniks here would almost surely describe themselves as conservatives. But they are know-nothings. Norm |
#49
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Off-topic posters - don't let the door hit you in the nose on the way out !
On Mar 31, 2:35 pm, norml wrote:
m II wrotf: The fact that he's been rather reserved in his responses hasn't failed to impress. Not even the foul mouthed cretins who regularly resort to obscene name calling have managed to get him to sink to their level. I may not like what he is saying, but compared to those who attack him, he's generally been rather gentlemanly. It may be just a coincidence, but most, if not all, of those attacking him also seem to be supporters of the war on Iraq. mike I have also complimented D.E. on his implacablility in the face of the ignorant taunts. Your point about the war is interesting. David's take on broadcasting as a business is coherent and acurately describes what happens to any industry with the application of conservative, laissez-faire economic principals. The noisy noodniks here would almost surely describe themselves as conservatives. But they are know-nothings. Norm I don't care what he or anyone else says about HD radio. I just wish they'd take the entire thread to a more appropriate newsgroup. Steve |
#50
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dxAss- don't let the door hit you in the nose on the way out !
"Telamon" wrote in message ... In article , norml wrote: m II wrotf: The fact that he's been rather reserved in his responses hasn't failed to impress. Not even the foul mouthed cretins who regularly resort to obscene name calling have managed to get him to sink to their level. I may not like what he is saying, but compared to those who attack him, he's generally been rather gentlemanly. It may be just a coincidence, but most, if not all, of those attacking him also seem to be supporters of the war on Iraq. mike I have also complimented D.E. on his implacablility in the face of the ignorant taunts. Snip The guy is a con-artist that believes his own BS. Being Implacable is not a test for truthfulness. I've caught him in a number of lies. A word I could use for his responses is stonewalling. You mean like your insistence that, in radio, $750 thousand is a "lot" of money? I think not. You simply are a DXer who is delightfully oblivious to the way the industry that produces the signals you listen to operates. And you are just totally off track in the way you think average, everyday listeners use radio. |
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