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Old March 24th 07, 08:51 PM posted to rec.radio.amateur.policy
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Default ARS License Numbers March 22 2007

On Mar 24, 12:15?pm, "KH6HZ" wrote:
wrote:
Total Tech/TechPlus - decrease of 5,084


Total all classes - increase of 196


It will be most interesting to see the final tally for March in another
week.


My plan is to post the totals once per month, on or about the 22nd.
Those posts, like this one, will include totals for the first, 14th
and 22nd of each month (or thereabouts).

Thusfar, all that has appeared to happen is a huge number of upgrades from
Tech to higher license classes.


I disagree!

The total number of US hams had been slowly declining for a couple of
years before the rules change. Since the rules change, the decline has
stopped and we have a growth rate of about 1/3 of one percent per
year.

Of course that's based on one month of data. Whether the trend will
continue is unknown. Extrapolating one month's results may not be
valid at all.

When the rules changed in 2000, we had a couple years of growth - and
then the numbers peaked about 2003.

When the "price" of something declines, there
is usually a surge of "sales", which may or may not be sustained.

I'm still waiting for the "flood" of technically-savvy people who would 'get
licensed but can't/don't want to/(insert excuse here)


"don't have time"

pass the
torturous/nasty/evil/oppressive/(insert adjective here) code examination
promised to us by the No-Code Agenda.

Don't hold your breath.

Consider our resident "retired from regular hours radio-electronics
PROFESSIONAL" who finally
got his license out of the box.

Do you think he'll be homebrewing any radios for his amateur station?
Writing any technical articles for amateur radio publications or
websites?
Using any new modes or methods?

And hey, Mike - *you* are part of that
NoCodeTest agenda, too! I read your
1998 Comments.

73 de Jim, N2EY

 
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