"Dee Flint" wrote in
:


wrote in message
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..

[snip]
As of February 22, 2007:
Total all classes - 654,680

As of February 23, 2008:
Total all classes - 656,857


Therefore the change from Feb 22, 2007 to Feb 23, 2008 was 0.33%
increase.

Here are the guesses that were on the list.
N8UZE: 1% less to 1% more -- Average = 0% change ---
"winner" of guessing game
N2EY: 1% more to 2% more -- Average = 1.5% growth --- "3rd
place" in guessing game
KH6HZ: 1% less to 0% change -- Average = 0.5% decline ---
"2nd place" in guessing game
N3KIP: 2% more to 6% more -- Average = 4.0% growth
KH6O: 6% more to 10% more -- Average = 8.0% growth
KK6J: 12% more to 14% more -- Average = 13.0% growth
KC2HMZ: 5% more -- Average = 5% growth
K8BSG: 2% to 3% more -- Average = 2.5% growth


What I think is important is that new Hams are coming on board to
replace those that were lost after the big drop-off happened. That drop
is very likely to have been caused by the so called "honeydo" Hams who
became inactive with the ascendency of cell phones.

It will take a lot of new Hams testing to replace that dropoff. It looks
like we are doing it, slow and steady. Just as it should be.

The focus of of this poll is to judge the impact of the elimination
of element 1 on the numbers of Hams. Is it possible that given the other
issue of drop offs, that it is very difficult to draw a reliable
conclusion from it?


Perhaps the next year will bring more growth or perhaps it won't.

Hard to disagree with that! 8^)

- 73 d eMike N3LI -