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#161
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lazy ace
David Eduardo wrote:
"Steve" wrote in message ups.com... David Eduardo wrote: The greater good is trying to preserve the existing free terrestrial broadcast system, which will not endure unless a digital alternative is offered. We got that through numerous posts you have made. You may have. DXass certainly hasn't, nor has Steve and the now-absent "IBOC_Sucks" guy. And yet, you're the one who wrote, in post 173, that AM will never become primarily digital and, in fact, you say you "have never heard it discussed." I think that most listening in the future will be to the digital signal, not the analog. I have never heard anyone talk about turning analog off. I've spoken with two GM's, now, who've said they can't wait to shut the analog off, and save the cost of power. Especially with energy costs about to skyrocket here, that can be quite a difference in the bottom line. I know they talk amongst each other, and I know it's been discussed for some future date. Nothing official, of course. And nothing from the Commission. But it's being discussed. And like analog TV, when the digital audience reaches a certain saturation, it would be fiscally silly to continue to support a mode that's not being listened to. |
#162
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lazy ace
"D Peter Maus" wrote in message ... David Eduardo wrote: "Steve" wrote in message ups.com... David Eduardo wrote: The greater good is trying to preserve the existing free terrestrial broadcast system, which will not endure unless a digital alternative is offered. We got that through numerous posts you have made. You may have. DXass certainly hasn't, nor has Steve and the now-absent "IBOC_Sucks" guy. And yet, you're the one who wrote, in post 173, that AM will never become primarily digital and, in fact, you say you "have never heard it discussed." I think that most listening in the future will be to the digital signal, not the analog. I have never heard anyone talk about turning analog off. I've spoken with two GM's, now, who've said they can't wait to shut the analog off, and save the cost of power. Especially with energy costs about to skyrocket here, that can be quite a difference in the bottom line. That is an interesting reason... spend $100 k at least to go HD, and then shut off analog to save a couple of thousand. I just do not think that there would be a win for at least a decade by being only digital. I know they talk amongst each other, and I know it's been discussed for some future date. Nothing official, of course. And nothing from the Commission. But it's being discussed. And like analog TV, when the digital audience reaches a certain saturation, it would be fiscally silly to continue to support a mode that's not being listened to. This sounds more like the FCC, which is responsible for the sunset law on analog TV. Hopefully, this was a lesson learned that you can not force consumers to buy things they do not yet want. |
#163
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lazy ace
On Thu, 13 Jul 2006 20:06:09 GMT, "David Eduardo"
wrote: "David" wrote in message .. . On Thu, 13 Jul 2006 18:09:28 GMT, "David Eduardo" wrote: The only difference is in the improved audio quality. There is no such thing as "serious" radio listening... it is almost all done to accompany other things, like working, driving, etc. Aside from being quieter, it really doesn't sound any better. It is much better fidelity and quality I don't hear it. Just cleaner. MPEG4 sounds crappy to me. |
#164
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lazy ace
David Eduardo wrote: "Steve" wrote in message ups.com... David Eduardo wrote: The greater good is trying to preserve the existing free terrestrial broadcast system, which will not endure unless a digital alternative is offered. We got that through numerous posts you have made. You may have. DXass certainly hasn't, nor has Steve and the now-absent "IBOC_Sucks" guy. And yet, you're the one who wrote, in post 173, that AM will never become primarily digital and, in fact, you say you "have never heard it discussed." I think that most listening in the future will be to the digital signal, not the analog. I have never heard anyone talk about turning analog off. Yep, it's nappy time for this thread. |
#165
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lazy ace
David Eduardo wrote:
"D Peter Maus" wrote in message ... David Eduardo wrote: "Steve" wrote in message ups.com... David Eduardo wrote: The greater good is trying to preserve the existing free terrestrial broadcast system, which will not endure unless a digital alternative is offered. We got that through numerous posts you have made. You may have. DXass certainly hasn't, nor has Steve and the now-absent "IBOC_Sucks" guy. And yet, you're the one who wrote, in post 173, that AM will never become primarily digital and, in fact, you say you "have never heard it discussed." I think that most listening in the future will be to the digital signal, not the analog. I have never heard anyone talk about turning analog off. I've spoken with two GM's, now, who've said they can't wait to shut the analog off, and save the cost of power. Especially with energy costs about to skyrocket here, that can be quite a difference in the bottom line. That is an interesting reason... spend $100 k at least to go HD, and then shut off analog to save a couple of thousand. $100k is a Cap item. The couple of thousand is recurring. When we bought into the new combiner on the top of the Hancock and upgraded our antenna, we dropped more than $1.3M and no one batted an eye. But we were still reusing the toner in the copy machine, and bitching about the airconditioning bill in the summer. No one blinks at the Cap item when it can result in recurring savings. Especially when use of the analog stream falls below the use of the HD stream, and with as many distribution outlets many stations are investigating, a GM will get a real itch to shut down the analog stream, and save that outflow for something more profitable. I just do not think that there would be a win for at least a decade by being only digital. I think that may be a bit optimistic. Given the rate at which radio use in general is declining, (and this has been a fairly recently documented phenomenon...even as late as last year, the numbers suggested that things were only off slightly...Bridge has been reporting sizeable erosion for the last two quarters, now) and given the difficulty, at least from where I sit, in listening to AM signals, and the lack of options for retrieving some content once the IBOC hash blots out the available signals, I don't expect things to remain viable for analog AM for anything near a decade. Let me give you an example...where I am, far north suburbs of Chicago, about a 3 wood from Waukegan...I've got two AM's, one Milwaukee, one in Chicago, that carry Rush Limbaugh. If I want to consume that content, those are my choices. There is no local station offering that content. As the IBOC rash spreads, those stations, WISN and WLS will become closed to me. They're nearly impossible to catch some days, anyway, due to noise. The Din of iBiquity would close them entirely, as it has a number of other stations formerly available here. And you know I'm no slouch when I want a signal. But even I can't pull content out of the noise where IBOC is concerned. Now, I'm part of Chicago metro. So is Pete Gianakopoulos. But we're going to be under served when the IBOC rash spreads to the rest of the dial. And there is no alternative, no local frequency, offering what's available from the Chicago and Milwaukee AM's. Rush isn't on FM around here. And he's not on XM or Sirius. Air America, where I am, is no longer listenable. So, there's content put off limits by the laws of physics, where the FCC's model says we should be enjoying AM reception from the market to which we belong. In that light, keeping the analog stream alive for a decade is more or less, just silly. Now, I realize that my mileage may vary...but I can't be the only one experiencing this. Nor can this be the only area it's happening. Eventually, the conversation about terminating analog AM will extend beyond the coffee bars between GM's and into much higher places where things get decided in earnest. I know they talk amongst each other, and I know it's been discussed for some future date. Nothing official, of course. And nothing from the Commission. But it's being discussed. And like analog TV, when the digital audience reaches a certain saturation, it would be fiscally silly to continue to support a mode that's not being listened to. This sounds more like the FCC, which is responsible for the sunset law on analog TV. Hopefully, this was a lesson learned that you can not force consumers to buy things they do not yet want. Apparently, a lesson not yet learned. At least not judging by this newsgroup. |
#166
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lazy ace
"D Peter Maus" wrote in message news $100k is a Cap item. The couple of thousand is recurring. But the cap item depreciation hits each year and quarter. Granted, it does not impact EBITDA, but if you are a non-public corporation, that would not matter... it is money out of pocket. When we bought into the new combiner on the top of the Hancock and upgraded our antenna, we dropped more than $1.3M and no one batted an eye. But we were still reusing the toner in the copy machine, and bitching about the airconditioning bill in the summer. No one blinks at the Cap item when it can result in recurring savings. I guess some companies look at it that way. I wish I had a huge capex budget like that! Especially when use of the analog stream falls below the use of the HD stream, and with as many distribution outlets many stations are investigating, a GM will get a real itch to shut down the analog stream, and save that outflow for something more profitable. I am an HD supporter, but I can nrealistically see this tipping point int he next 5 to 7 years. Can you? I don't even know if AM will survive. I think that may be a bit optimistic. Given the rate at which radio use in general is declining, (and this has been a fairly recently documented phenomenon...even as late as last year, the numbers suggested that things were only off slightly.. The decline in cume is very small. 2% since '65. The listening time is off 2 hours off a base of 21 for the average listener, and that is since 1988. So we have nearly 10% or a rate of nearly a percent a year. However, the erosion is mostly in non-servable demos, teens and 55+ with some 18-24, but far less. There are so many reasons for all this that it is not easily analyzed. .Bridge has been reporting sizeable erosion for the last two quarters, now) and given the difficulty, at least from where I sit, in listening to AM signals, and the lack of options for retrieving some content once the IBOC hash blots out the available signals, I don't expect things to remain viable for analog AM for anything near a decade. Bridge really lacks credibility to me. They use a marketing model of Awareness - Trial _ Usage and not a broad sample nor much ethnic sample (they apparently have no Hisanic interviewers, as far as I know) and the data is suspect. Arbittron has a lot of data on the website, with immense samples over a million a year. Let me give you an example...where I am, far north suburbs of Chicago, about a 3 wood from Waukegan...I've got two AM's, one Milwaukee, one in Chicago, that carry Rush Limbaugh. If I want to consume that content, those are my choices. There is no local station offering that content. As the IBOC rash spreads, those stations, WISN and WLS will become closed to me. They're nearly impossible to catch some days, anyway, due to noise. The Din of iBiquity would close them entirely, as it has a number of other stations formerly available here. And you know I'm no slouch when I want a signal. But even I can't pull content out of the noise where IBOC is concerned. This is more an AM probem in current noise level environments. we find we can not get diaries in LA with under 15 mv/m, and 20 is better. Agfian, Am may not make it. News talk is migrating to FM now, including DC, tallahassee, Phoenix, Salt Lake, etc. This may be inevitable. AM analog sucks. Eventually, the conversation about terminating analog AM will extend beyond the coffee bars between GM's and into much higher places where things get decided in earnest. Maybe if nobody is making money, we will go all digital. I see this as a beyond 5 year issue. |
#167
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lazy ace
David Eduardo wrote: "Steve" wrote in message ups.com... David Eduardo wrote: "Steve" wrote in message oups.com... David Eduardo wrote: "Steve" wrote in message oups.com... The digital alternative may well be the doom of AM radio. No one will pay to listen to a slightly inferior version of FM. Pay? there is no fee. Buy the radio, no further fee. Get the radio, get far improved quality. I will bet you have not listened to HD AM either ever or recently, especially with codec ver. 2.2.5. No one will be attracted to it under any circumstances if its chief selling point is that it's "almost as good as the alternatives" FM HD is better than any other current distribution system, plus it is free. AM HD is as good as any alternative system, and is free. It is much better than Analog AM. "as good as" isn't what you've said previously, but it's also not good enough to cut the mustard. AM HD compares favorably to most online streams, to iPod audio, and the that available currently from satellite. It is vastly better than analog AM. Unfortunately, that's completely irrelevant. |
#168
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lazy ace
"Steve" wrote in message oups.com... AM HD compares favorably to most online streams, to iPod audio, and the that available currently from satellite. It is vastly better than analog AM. Unfortunately, that's completely irrelevant. Nope. It is relevant since the issue with radio usage has to do wtith usage of other entertainment and audio sources. |
#169
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lazy ace
David Eduardo wrote: "Steve" wrote in message oups.com... AM HD compares favorably to most online streams, to iPod audio, and the that available currently from satellite. It is vastly better than analog AM. Unfortunately, that's completely irrelevant. Nope. It is relevant since the issue with radio usage has to do wtith usage of other entertainment and audio sources. Nope. We are discussing no such issue. |
#170
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lazy ace
"Steve" wrote in message oups.com... David Eduardo wrote: "Steve" wrote in message oups.com... AM HD compares favorably to most online streams, to iPod audio, and the that available currently from satellite. It is vastly better than analog AM. Unfortunately, that's completely irrelevant. Nope. It is relevant since the issue with radio usage has to do wtith usage of other entertainment and audio sources. Nope. We are discussing no such issue. It has to do with how people use radio now. If other things are displacing radio in areas that radio has traditionally dominated, maybe it has something to do with what is put on the radio, rather than the reception of the radio or the quality of sound of the radio. For pete's sake, 128 MB MP3s are no better than cassette quality (or from what I can judge), but because people can mix their own playlists that they believe are better than what you find on the radio (with less commercials or inane chatter or bathroom jokes), people will continue to use those 128 MB MP3's. There are people (I am one) who used to mix tapes for friends just because I liked doing it (also did a stint at a college radio station as a DJ, so I'm also well aware of how little input I had in the playlist). It was usually a PITA, and it would take a couple of hours to get a tape together. Fast forward 15 years, and right before we went on vacation this summer, I spent 1/2 hour putting 3-4 CDs together of a mix of music off of my personal collection that I've ripped. I know I could have chosen to listen to the radio on the trip (it was a two day trip to a certain location in Orlando, FL), but the kids outvoted me and wanted to listen to their stuff. --Mike L. |
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